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Naj Co Ltd, et al. – ‘SC 13E3/A’ on 12/13/99 re: Amway Japan Ltd – EX-99.B.2

On:  Monday, 12/13/99   ·   Accession #:  950152-99-9626   ·   File #:  5-57177

Previous ‘SC 13E3’:  ‘SC 13E3/A’ on 12/7/99   ·   Next:  ‘SC 13E3/A’ on 12/20/99   ·   Latest:  ‘SC 13E3/A’ on 5/18/00

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  As Of                Filer                Filing    For·On·As Docs:Size              Issuer               Agent

12/13/99  Naj Co Ltd                        SC 13E3/A              3:149K Amway Japan Ltd                   Bowne BCL/FA
          Alap Hold Co., Ltd.
          Amway Japan Limited
          Naj Co Ltd

Amendment to Tender-Offer Statement — Going-Private Transaction   —   Schedule 13E-3
Filing Table of Contents

Document/Exhibit                   Description                      Pages   Size 

 1: SC 13E3/A   Amway Japan Limited/N.A.J. Co., Ltd.                  14     73K 
 2: EX-99.B.2   Exhibit (B)(2)                                        42    112K 
 3: EX-99.B.3   Exhibit (B)(3)                                        38    141K 


EX-99.B.2   —   Exhibit (B)(2)
Exhibit Table of Contents

Page (sequential) | (alphabetic) Top
 
11st Page   -   Filing Submission
4Purchaser
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Exhibit (b)(2) [GOLDMAN HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL SACHS LOGO] ------------------- PROJECT JUNIPER PRESENTATION TO THE DISINTERESTED DIRECTORS GOLDMAN, SACHS & CO. GOLDMAN SACHS (JAPAN) LTD. NOVEMBER 12, 1999
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TABLE OF EXHIBITS EXHIBIT TRANSACTION SUMMARY 1 OVERVIEW OF JUNIPER 2 PUBLIC MARKET VALUATION 3 PRIVATE MARKET VALUATION 4 ANALYSIS OF PREMIA PAID IN SELECTED TENDER OFFERS AND MINORITY BUYOUTS 5 DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW ANALYSIS 6 APPENDIX DETAILED FINANCIALS A [Goldman Sachs Logo]
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TAB 1
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TRANSACTION SUMMARY JUNIPER PURCHASER: |X| N.A.J. Co., Ltd. ("Purchaser") is a joint stock corporation organized under the laws of Japan. It is a wholly-owned subsidiary of ALAP Hold Co., Ltd. ("ALAP"), a Nevada limited partnership controlled by the principal shareholders of Juniper (the "Principal Shareholders") TENDER OFFER PRICE: |X| Yen 1,490 per share, in cash KEY STEPS: |X| Purchaser, ALAP and Juniper will enter into a Tender Offer Agreement |X| Tender Offer will remain open for 30 days |X| The Principal Shareholders will not tender but instead will transfer their shares in Juniper to ALAP -- Principal Shareholders own approximately 76.6% of the shares -- An additional 3.2% of shares are owned by charitable foundations established by the Principal Shareholders - these will be tendered in the Tender Offer ADDITIONAL TRANSACTIONS: |X| Purchaser and Juniper will agree in principle to enter into a merger after the consummation of the Tender Offer -- In the merger, any remaining Juniper shareholders (including ALAP) would receive shares in Purchaser, the surviving company, in accordance with an exchange ratio that has not yet been determined -- Upon consummation of the merger, the shares will be de-listed from the Japanese OTC and the ADSs from the NYSE -- Upon consummation of the merger, there will be no public market for Purchaser shares. In addition, a reverse stock split may be effected, which would result in many shareholders holding fractional shares. Holders of fractional shares would face a number of restrictions, including non-transferability and lack of voting rights |X| The terms of the merger have not been agreed-upon. Goldman Sachs cannot evaluate the fairness of the merger transaction CONDITIONS: |X| None. EXPECTED FINANCING: |X| Morgan Guaranty bank facility OTHER MATTERS: |X| Principal Shareholders will not sell their shares to any third party [GOLDMAN SACHS LOGO]
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JUNIPER SUMMARY OF OFFER (JPY IN MILLIONS, EXCEPT FOR PER SHARE DATA) CURRENT PRICE AS OF NOVEMBER 10, 1999 [Enlarge/Download Table] CURRENT INITIAL REVISED PRICE OFFER OFFER PREMIUM TO MARKET PRICE 0.0 % 39.2 % 53.6 % PURCHASE PRICE PER SHARE 970 1,350 1,490 PREMIUM TO 52-WEEK AVERAGE (17.8)% 14.5 % 26.3 % INCREASE FROM INITIAL OFFER 10.4 % Number of Shares Outstanding (MM) (a) 144.0 144.0 144.0 Number of Shares to be Purchased (MM): 23.44% 33.8 33.8 33.8 Transaction Size 32,750 45,580 50,307 Implied Equity Consideration - Basic 139,705 194,435 214,599 Implied Equity Consideration - Options (b) - - - ------------------------------ EQUITY CONSIDERATION - DILUTED (b) 139,705 194,435 214,599 Net Debt (c) (21,748) (21,748) (21,748) ENTERPRISE VALUE 117,957 172,687 192,851 EV MULTIPLE OF SALES FY 1999A 143,797 0.8x 1.2x 1.3x FY 2000E 150,000 0.8 1.2 1.3 FY 2001E 156,000 0.8 1.1 1.2 EV MULTIPLE OF EBITDA (d) FY 1999A 22,218 5.3x 7.8x 8.7x FY 2000E 18,251 6.5 9.5 10.6 FY 2001E 22,705 5.2 7.6 8.5 EV MULTIPLE OF EBIT (d) FY 1999A 20,261 5.8x 8.5x 9.5x FY 2000E 15,410 7.7 11.2 12.5 FY 2001E 19,855 5.9 8.7 9.7 EQUITY MULTIPLE OF NET INCOME (d) FY 1999A 10,507 13.3x 18.5x 20.4x FY 2000E 8,530 16.4 22.8 25.2 FY 2001E 10,920 12.8 17.8 19.7 PREMIUM TO: 52-Week High 1,430 (32.2)% (5.6)% 4.2% All-Time High 9,267 (89.5) (85.4) (83.9) 52-Week Low 970 0.0 39.2 53.6 (a) As of August 31, 1999. (b) Assumes 0.1 million options outstanding with a weighted average strike price of 2,470. All are out of the money. (c) Assumes net debt of (Yen)(21,748) million as of August 31, 1999. (d) FY2000-2004E estimates by Juniper management
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TAB 2
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[Goldman Sachs Logo] SWOT ANALYSIS JUNIPER STRENGTHS -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [X] Japan one of the largest direct selling market in the world [X] One of the longest established, largest direct selling companies in Japan with a powerful sales force [X] Japanese culture of extended family ties and lifelong close personal relationships well-suited to Juniper Sales and Marketing Plan [X] High quality products sold at a premium, mostly in third quartile price range [X] Well-recognized brand name [X] Strong management team [X] Healthy balance sheet with little fixed assets/capex needs OPPORTUNITIES -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [X] Economic recovery in Japan [X] Recovering public image, with JCIC and press contained through introduction of 3D Project, US government lobbying, sponsorship of major sporting events [X] Distributor morale recovering, supported by new incentive schemes [X] New distributor recruiting initiatives [X] 3D Project (direct fulfillment, direct marketing, distributor communication) and better database management should improve transparency and control of the distributor network, increasing productivity in the long-term [X] Internet strategy to be in place by 2000, involving a wholesale buying club concept. Web already used to facilitate direct fulfillment [X] New product launches targeted to the local market [X] Scope for further alliances with other brands (e.g. DoCoMo, PerfecTV, Rubbermaid) [X] As Japan restructures and lifelong employment is threatened, Juniper's entrepreneurial opportunities may become increasingly attractive [X] Further cost cutting WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [X] Sustained recession in Japan resulting in: -- Consumers being more selective in purchases and passing on high-ticket items -- Shrinking distributor force due to poor new application and renewal rates -- Foreign exchange fluctuations impacting gross margin as only partially "hedged" and increased purchasing costs cannot be passed through to consumers [X] Suffers from poor public image of multi-level direct selling in general [X] Distributor recruiting suffered particularly in last two years due to debates in the Diet and pursuant attacks by JCIC and the press [X] Juniper's complex distributor system inherently difficult to control and monitor, exposing it to potential abuses [X] Disproportionately dependent on a small number of distributor leaders to run the network effectively [X] High cost of sourcing from Ada, Michigan THREATS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [X] Continued recessionary environment [X] The current recession may have fundamentally altered consumer mentality towards a more commoditized environment [X] Increased competition from: -- New entrants in direct selling competing for distributors -- Consumer products manufacturers competing for end users [X] Abuse by other direct selling companies tarnishing industry's, and hence Juniper's, image [X] Vulnerable to unexpected attacks by the public and any ensuing regulatory tightening [X] 3D Project would increase administration costs and product returns in the short-term [X] Continuing need to adapt business model to changes in environment
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RECENT EVENTS JUNIPER [Annotated Share Price Graph] THE DROP IN JUNIPER'S SHARE PRICE IS ATTRIBUTABLE TO THE IMPACT OF THE RECESSION ON EARNINGS AND NEGATIVE PRESS Source: Mueller; news runs [GOLDMAN SACHS LOGO]
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SUMMARY OF HISTORICAL FINANCIALS [GOLDMAN JUNIPER SACHS LOGO] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SALES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [GRAPH of 1995 - 2000E Sales and Year-on-Year Sales Growth] 1995 - 2000E CAGR: (3.4)% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- GROSS PROFIT ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [GRAPH of 1995 - 2000E Gross Profit and Gross Margin] 1995 - 2000E CAGR; (4.3)% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- EBIT ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [GRAPH of 1995 - 2000E EBIT and EBIT Margin] 1995 - 2000E CAGR; (20.9)% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- NET INCOME ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [GRAPH of 1995 - 2000E Net Income and Net Margin] 1995 - 2000E CAGR: (18.0)% Source: 20-F, Juniper Management budget
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SHARE PRICE HISTORY [GOLDMAN JUNIPER SACHS LOGO] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SINCE IPO (a) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [GRAPH of closing stock price and volume traded] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- THREE YEARS (b) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [GRAPH of closing stock price and volume traded] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ONE YEAR (c) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [GRAPH of closing stock price and volume traded] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SIX MONTHS (d) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [GRAPH of closing stock price and volume traded] Source: NIKKEI's NEEDS - Database (a) Plotted monthly from 4/30/1991 to 10/29/1999 (b) Plotted weekly from 11/1/1996 to 10/29/1999 (c) Plotted daily from 10/29/1998 to 10/29/1999 (d) Plotted daily from 4/29/1999 to 10/29/1999
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SHARES TRADED AT VARIOUS PRICES(a) JUNIPER ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SINCE IPO (b) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [BAR CHART] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- THREE YEARS (c) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [BAR CHART] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ONE YEAR (d) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [BAR CHART] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SIX MONTHS (e) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [BAR CHART] % OF 1999 YTD TRADING VOLUME [PIE CHART] Source: NIKKEI's NEEDS - Database (a) Japan OTC only (b) From 4/30/1991 to 10/29/1999 (c) From 11/1/1996 to 10/29/1999 (d) From 10/29/1998 to 10/29/1999 (e) From 4/29/1999 to 10/29/1999 [Goldman Sachs Logo]
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HISTORICAL RELATIVE STOCK PRICE PERFORMANCE [GOLDMAN SACHS LOGO] JUNIPER Asian Direct Marketing Index ---------------------------- Apple Cosway Mango US Direct Marketing Index ------------------------- Avon Herbalife Nu Skin Rexall Sundown Thomas Nelson Tupperware Japanese Direct Marketing Index ------------------------------- Avon Japan Ivy Cosmetics Noevir Shaklee Japan Nikkei 225 Stock Average Close ------------------------------ Juniper ------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SINCE IPO (a) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [GRAPH of Asia Direct Marketing Index, US Direct Marketing Index, Japanese Direct Marketing Index, Nikkei 225 Stock Average Close, and Juniper relative price performance] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- THREE YEARS (b) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [GRAPH of Asia Direct Marketing Index, US Direct Marketing Index, Japanese Direct Marketing Index, Nikkei 225 Stock Average Close, and Juniper relative price performance] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ONE YEAR (c) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [GRAPH of Asia Direct Marketing Index, US Direct Marketing Index, Japanese Direct Marketing Index, Nikkei 225 Stock Average Close, and Juniper relative price performance] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SIX MONTHS (d) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [GRAPH of Asia Direct Marketing Index, US Direct Marketing Index, Japanese Direct Marketing Index, Nikkei 225 Stock Average Close, and Juniper relative price performance] Source: Mueller (a) Plotted monthly from 4/30/1991 to 10/29/1999 (b) Plotted weekly from 11/1/1996 to 10/29/1999 (c) Plotted daily from 10/29/1998 to 10/29/1999 (d) Plotted daily from 4/29/1999 to 10/29/1999
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Summary of Research Comments Juniper [Enlarge/Download Table] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Share Date Company Price EPS Rating Comments ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10/15/1999 Merrill Lynch & Co (Yen)1,000 (Yen)60.00 Long Term |X| The closing number of distributors declined 3.9% (FY2000E) Neutral YoY to 1.1mm. Management notes that new sign-ups were depressed. This points to Int. Term further earnings weakness Reduce |X| Improved non-operating items and a lower tax rate hold the decline in after-tax earnings to 18% or (Yen)10.5bn vs. our (Yen)9.0bn estimate ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 7/2/1999 Merrill Lynch & Co (Yen)1,220 (Yen)60.00 Long Term |X| Cost cutting is improving earnings, but the (FY2000E) Neutral revenue outlook remains depressed as long as the number of distributors is still declining Int. Term |X| Until this trend reverses, our investment Reduce opinion remains Reduce ---------------- -------------------- ----------- ------------- ------------- ------------------------------------------------------ 4/10/1999 Merrill Lynch & Co (Yen)1,160 (Yen)60.00 Long Term |X| Core distributors dropped 5% YoY to 984,000 vs. (FY2000E) Neutral our estimated 950,000 Int. Term |X| AJL is feeling the negative impact of lower Reduce consumption, fewer distributors and the dearth of new products. We believe this situation is likely to continue throughout this year ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 11/5/1998 Merrill Lynch & Co (Yen)1,420 (Yen)97.00 Long Term |X| The 3D Project will remake Juniper's multi-layer (FY2000E) Accumulate organization into a tighter ship and possibly a more effective one Int. Term |X| Although the EPS estimates for FY8/99 and FY8/00 Neutral are lower than the indicated dividend of (Yen)100, dividend level should hold given the significant cash position |X| Our long-term investment opinion of Accumulate is based on the thesis that the dividend would hold; the implied dividend yield is 7% [Goldman Sachs Logo]
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MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT(a)(b) JAPAN [GRAPH of Year-on-Year GDP and private consumption growth rates 1995 - 2003E] (a) Years ending on March 31 following of the calendar years. (b) All data plotted yearly. Source: Historical data from Economic Planning Agency. Estimates by GS Research (Sept. 17, 1999) and Japan Center for Economic Research (Dec. 3, 1998). [Goldman Sachs Logo]
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OVERVIEW OF JAPANESE YEN EXCHANGE RATE HISTORY YEN/$US [GRAPH of Yen/$ US exchange rate 1997 - 2000E] Source: Datastream (plotted daily from 1/01/1997 to 10/15/1999, projection by GS Research (Sept. 28, 1999) [Goldman Sachs Logo]
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DISTRIBUTOR FORCE AND PRODUCTIVITY ANALYSIS [Goldman Sachs Logo] JUNIPER ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- DISTRIBUTOR FORCE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [Graph of number of distributors, new applicants, and renewal rate 1994 - 1999] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- DISTRIBUTOR PRODUCTIVITY ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [Graph of sales per distributor and ratio of new applicants 1994 - 1999] Source: Juniper
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TAB 3
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COMPARISON OF SELECTED COMPANIES [Goldman Sachs Logo] DIRECT SALES (US$ IN MILLIONS, EXCEPT PER SHARE DATA) MARKET DATA AS OF 11/10/99 [Enlarge/Download Table] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- BASIC ENTERPRISE VALUE % OF 3 EQUITY LEVERED LTM MARGINS (b) MULTIPLES OF LTM (b) COMPANY % OF 52 YEAR HIGH MARKET MARKET ----------------------- ------------------------ WEEK HIGH PRICE CAP CAP EBITDA EBIT SALES EBITDA EBIT -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- JUNIPER (a) 68.3% 20.5% $ 1,324 $ 1,118 15.5% 14.1% 0.8X 5.3 5.8X US DIRECT SALES COMPANIES Avon (d) 51.2 51.2 7,498 7,941 13.4 11.9 1.5 11.3 12.7 Nu Skin 43.4 35.4 361 349 20.7 16.8 0.4 1.8 2.3 Tupperware (e) 73.8 34.4 1,084 1,417 17.5 11.5 1.3 7.7 11.7 Thomas Nelson 70.5 63.7 140 237 12.1 8.7 0.9 7.4 10.3 Herbalife 87.3 36.4 381 273 5.2 4.2 0.2 3.1 3.8 Rexall Sundown 48.2 28.3 704 713 19.6 17.5 1.2 6.2 6.9 Nature's Sunshine 39.8 24.7 124 99 13.6 11.8 0.3 2.5 2.9 USANA 41.0 32.4 94 92 15.8 13.2 0.8 5.1 6.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- MEAN 14.7% 12.0% 0.8X 5.6X 7.1X MEDIAN 14.7 11.9 0.8 5.6 6.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ASIAN DIRECT SALES COMPANIES Apple (a) 80.1 23.4 653 545 7.8 5.2 1.1 13.9 20.7 Cosway Corp. Berhad 63.4 34.0 163 410 7.8 5.3 1.1 14.3 21.0 Mango 95.4 52.5 244 243 14.2 13.6 2.9 20.7 21.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- MEAN 9.9% 8.0% 1.7X 16.3X 21.1X MEDIAN 7.8 5.3 1.1 14.3 21.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- JAPANESE DIRECT SALES COMPANIES Avon Japan 73.7 62.3 144 140 4.1 1.8 0.5 11.5 26.4 Ivy Cosmetics 68.1 59.1 41 32 19.8 16.7 0.6 3.0 3.6 Noevir 69.0 41.9 400 280 7.4 4.1 0.7 10.1 18.4 Shaklee Japan 80.6 54.9 238 170 13.7 13.6 1.5 10.6 10.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- MEAN 11.2% 9.0% 0.8X 8.8X 14.8X MEDIAN 10.6 8.8 0.7 10.4 14.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- CALENDARIZED P/E MULTIPLES (c) 5-YR EST. COMPANY ---------------- EPS P/E TO GROWTH DIVIDEND 2000E 2001E GROWTH (c)(f) 2000E 2001E YIELD ROCE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- JUNIPER (a) 16.2X 15.3X 2.0% 8.1X 7.7X 10.3% 17.8% US DIRECT SALES COMPANIES Avon (d) 15.5 12.6 14.0 1.1 0.9 2.5 1.9 Nu Skin 8.5 7.1 20.0 0.4 0.4 N.A. 42.4 Tupperware (e) 10.8 9.7 11.0 1.0 0.9 4.7 55.6 Thomas Nelson 10.2 9.1 12.5 0.8 0.7 1.6 8.1 Herbalife 8.1 N.A. N.A. N.A. N.A. 4.5 25.8 Rexall Sundown 10.0 1.5 15.0 0.7 0.1 N.A. 28.3 Nature's Sunshine 6.5 5.7 N.A. N.A. N.A. 1.8 29.9 USANA 11.2 8.2 N.A. N.A. N.A. N.A. 35.0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- MEAN 10.1X 7.7X 14.5% 0.8X 0.6X 3.0% 28.4% MEDIAN 10.1 8.2 14.0 0.8 0.7 2.5 29.1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ASIAN DIRECT SALES COMPANIES Apple (a) 46.3 12.5 17.5 2.6 1.0 N.A. 8.5 Cosway Corp. Berhad N.A. N.A. N.A. N.A. N.A. 1.6 (0.3) Mango 19.2 15.9 6.0 3.2 2.7 2.7 18.5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- MEAN 32.7X 16.9X 11.8% 2.9X 1.8X 2.2 % 8.9% MEDIAN 32.7 16.9 11.8 2.9 1.8 2.2 8.5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- JAPANESE DIRECT SALES COMPANIES Avon Japan 30.4 N.A. N.A. N.A. N.A. 2.8 5.0 Ivy Cosmetics 8.7 N.A. 15.0 0.6 N.A. 1.8 9.7 Noevir 32.5 N.A. 17.6 1.8 N.A. 1.7 3.0 Shaklee Japan 29.1 N.A. 2.0 14.6 N.A. 3.1 6.4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- MEAN 25.2X N.M. 11.5% 5.7X N.M. 2.3% 6.0% MEDIAN 29.8 N.M. 15.0 1.8 N.M. 2.3 5.7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5-YR NON-US SALES ASIAN AS COMPANY SALES AS % OF % OF TOTAL CAGR TOTAL SALES ------------------------------------------------------------------------- JUNIPER (a) (1.8)% 100.0 % 100.0% US DIRECT SALES COMPANIES Avon (d) 6.3 60.7 12.4 Nu Skin 52.5 99.1 88.2 Tupperware (e) (1.6) 84.8 21.1 Thomas Nelson 12.8 N.A. N.A. Herbalife 18.9 70.7 43.8 Rexall Sundown 41.6 N.A. N.A. Nature's Sunshine 18.4 36.8 3.7 USANA 99.3 45.1 16.2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- MEAN 31.0% 66.2% 30.9% MEDIAN 18.6 65.7 18.7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- ASIAN DIRECT SALES COMPANIES Apple (a) (3.9) Cosway Corp. Berhad 16.4 Mango 9.4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- MEAN 7.3% MEDIAN 9.4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- JAPANESE DIRECT SALES COMPANIES Avon Japan 8.6 Ivy Cosmetics 1.9 Noevir (3.4) Shaklee Japan (4.8) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- MEAN 0.6% MEDIAN (0.8) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- (a) Financial Statement data as of 08/31/1999. (b) Financial statement data as of latest twelve months available. (c) Source: IBES estimates as of 11/10/99. Asia and Japan marketing companies not calendarized. (d) Excludes $105.2m and $70.5m in restructuring charges in 1999 & 1998 respectively. (e) Excludes $15m re-engineering charge in 1998. (f) Juniper growth estimate from Merrill Lynch Report dated 10/15/1999.
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SELECTED PERFORMANCE BENCHMARKS [Goldman Sachs Logo] DIRECT MARKETING COMPANIES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HISTORICAL SALES GROWTH 5 YEAR CAGR ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [GRAPH] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LTM GROSS AND EBIT MARGIN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [GRAPH] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- PROJECTED 5 YEAR EPS GROWTH RATE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [GRAPH] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LTM RETURN ON COMMON EQUITY ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [GRAPH] Source: Historical figures from company reports; projected 5 year EPS growth rates from IBES
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JUNIPER HISTORICAL PUBLIC MARKET VALUATION PERFORMANCE [Goldman Sachs Logo] EV MULTIPLE OF TRAILING EBIT (a) [GRAPH] ONE YEAR FORWARD P/E MULTIPLE (b) [GRAPH] DIVIDEND YIELD (c) [GRAPH] Source: Factset (a) Multiple of immediately proceeding fiscal year EBIT. Weekly closing price, except current week for close November 10, 1999. (b) IBES one year forward EPS estimates. Weekly closing price, except current week for close November 10, 1999. (c) In JPY yield. Weekly closing price, except current week for close November 10, 1999.
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FUTURE TRADING RANGE ANALYSIS [Goldman Sachs Logo] JUNIPER [GRAPH] Source: EPS projections from Juniper management.
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FUTURE TRADING RANGE SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS (a) JUNIPER HYPOTHETICAL SHARE PRICE TODAY IF EXIT IN 4 YEARS AT: VARIOUS EXIT FORWARD P/E MULTIPLES AND EXPECTED RETURNS (b) [Download Table] -------------------------------------------------------------- EXIT FWD P/E MULTIPLE IN 4 YEARS -------------------------------------------------------------- 6x 11x 16x 21x 26x -------------------------------------------------------------- 12.0% 387 709 1,031 1,353 1,676 Expected 10.0% 416 763 1,110 1,456 1,803 Equity 8.0% 448 822 1,196 1,569 1,943 Return 6.0% 484 887 1,290 1,694 2,097 4.0% 523 959 1,395 1,830 2,266 [Enlarge/Download Table] VARIOUS INCREMENTAL FY2004E EPS AND EXPECTED RETURNS (b)(c) ------------------------------------------------ INCREMENTAL FY2004E EPS -------------------------------------------------------------- (20.0)% (10.0)% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% -------------------------------------------------------------- 12.0% 825 928 1,031 1,134 1,237 Expected 10.0% 888 999 1,110 1,221 1,332 Equity 8.0% 957 1,076 1,196 1,315 1,435 Return 6.0% 1,032 1,161 1,290 1,419 1,549 4.0% 1,116 1,255 1,395 1,534 1,674 (a) Asumes expected return for shareholders comprise dividend yield and share price appreciation (b) Assumes 2% dividend yield, consistent with dividend yield of selected comparable publicly listed companies (c) Assumes 16x forward P/E at time of exit Source: FY2004E forecasts from Juniper management [Goldman Sachs Logo]
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TAB 4
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MH MILLENNIUM ACQUISITION OF HERBALIFE SEPTEMBER 17, 1999 Background (a) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - MH Millennium Acquisition, a subsidiary of MH Millennium Holdings, tendered for all outstanding shares of Herbalife it does not already own. The Tender was effective on September 17, 1999 until October 15, 1999, however was extended at the same price until November 24, 1999. The initial proposal of $12.50 on August 11, 1999 was rejected by the Special Committee as being unfair - The purchaser is the Company's founder, CEO, President and Chairman Mark Hughes, who owns 100% of MH Millennium Holdings which beneficially owns 55.4% and 59.0% of outstanding Herbalife Class A and B Shares respectively - Herbalife is a network marketing company that sells a wide range of weight management products, food and dietary products worldwide. Number of worldwide distributors is 750,000. Japan accounted for 32% of 1998 sales - The motive for transaction was the deterioration in Herbalife's share price, which was considered undervalued by the Company. Management wanted the freedom to invest in long-term markets - Marketplace reaction (b): "Institutional shareholders who stood by founder Mark Hughes . . . are crying foul over his plan to take the company private." "I think the $17 price is ridiculous. The only ones making money on this stock are insiders." - Richard Todaro, Kennedy Capital Management [Download Table] Transaction Summary (a) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Current Price of Tender: $17.00 Initial Price (non-public): $12.50 # of Shares Tendered for: Class A: 4.3m Class B: 7.3m % of Total Shares O/S 42.9% 39.5% Transaction Size (c): ($) 267.8m Implied Equity Consideration (c): ($) 543.0m Implied Enterprise Value (c) (d): ($) 415.5m [Download Table] Multiple of Premium (Class A/B) -------------------------------------- -------------------------------------- LTM Retail Sales: 0.2x 1 Day Prior: 39/84% LTM EBIT: 5.0x 52 wk High: (41)/(38)% LTM Net Income: 10.7x 52 wk Low: 127/183% 2000E Net Income (e) 10.3x [Download Table] Summary Financials (a) Financial Year ended December 31, ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (US$mm) 1997 1998 LTM 9/1999 =============================================================================== Retail Sales 1,490.7 1,644.8 1,746.1 Y-on-Y Growth (%) 24.2 10.3 7.6 Gross Profit 1,285.6 1,414.0 1,501.6 Gross Margin (%) 86.2 85.97 86.0 EBIT 86.0 78.3 83.0 Margin (%) 5.8 4.8 4.8 Net Income 54.7 48.5 50.8 Margin (%) 3.7 3.0 2.9 Net Debt (118.6) (100.9) (129.5)(d) Fully Diluted EPS 1.72 1.60 1.30 5 Year Share Price Performance (f) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [GRAPH] (a) Source: Company filings (10K, 10Q, SC 14D1, LTM from unaudited company release). (b) Source: LA Times dated September 16,1999. (c) Includes purchase of options. (d) Net debt from 6/1999 10-Q, latest available. (e) IBES Estimates. (f) Source: Muller.
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INDUSTRI KAPITAL & JOCHNICK FAMILY ACQUISITION OF ORIFLAME SEPTEMBER 7, 1999 Background -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - MBO bid by Oriflame Trading, a unit of Oriflame International will lead to control by both the Industri Kapital Group and the Jochnick family. The two groups launched a tender offer for 49.73m shares at 265p for a 27.7% premium on the undisturbed market price. The stock delisted from the LSE on 10/14/1999 - The bidders are the founding Jochnick family and the Anglo-Swedish private equity group, Industri Kapitol. Each will own 50% of the ensuing privately held corporation - A strong motivating factor for the tender offer was the need for the family to be able to build a strong distribution system in those countries where the economy was in depression - Oriflame International is a direct seller in 52 countries with over 750,000 distributors. It is one of the leading direct selling cosmetics companies in the world. Oriflame utilizes retail outlets and pharmacies for some of its brand name items - Oriflame has limited exposure to Asian Pacific countries, with a distributor sales force only in Malaysia and Indonesia. Shelved plans to grow presence in Asia until economic upturn begins [Download Table] Transaction Summary (a)(b) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Price: 265p # of Shares Tendered for: 49.7m % of Total Shares O/S 50.1% Transaction Size: (GBP) 131.8m Implied Equity Consideration: (GBP) 265.5m Implied Enterprise Value: (GBP) 290.1m [Download Table] Multiple of Latest FYE Premium -------------------------------------- -------------------------------------- Sales: 1.2x Undisturbed Price: 28% EBIT: 9.6x 52 wk High: 0% Net Income: 15.8x 52 wk Low: 121% 2000E Net Income: 12.6x [Download Table] Financials (c) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Fiscal Year Ending Dec. 31, =============================================================================== (GBPmm) 1997 1998 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sales 252.8 233.1 Y-on-Y Growth (%) 9.2 (7.8) Gross Profit 176.6 162.3 Gross Margin (%) 69.9 69.6 EBIT 43.0 30.2 Margin (%) 17.0 13.0 Net Income 32.0 16.8 Margin (%) 12.7 7.2 Net Debt 3.1 24.7 EPS (Fully Diluted) 30.9 16.5 5 Year Share Price Performance (d) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [GRAPH] (a) All data in UK Pounds except per share, which is in pence; FDSO = 100.17MM (b) IBES estimates. (c) Financial data based on company reports as of calendar year end; 1998 before discontinued operations; 1997 before merger costs; LTM not meaningful due to insufficient disclosure of interim effects of discontinued operations (d) Source: Mueller. (e) Bloomberg.
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AVON INTERNATIONAL OPERATIONS TOB FOR AVON PRODUCTS SEPTEMBER 14, 1992 Background - On September 14, 1992, Avon International Operations Inc., a subsidiary of Avon (US), commenced a TOB to acquire shares it did not already own in Avon Products Co., Ltd. - The buyer already held 60% of the outstanding common stock in Avon Products Co., Ltd. - Although the purchase price was set at a 20% premium to the market price, Avon International Operations Inc. was able to purchase only 5,757,000 shares, or approximately 42% of the shares it had tendered for - The primary reason for the lack of success was that many of the investors had initially bought into the stock at prices significantly higher than the offer price [Download Table] Transaction Summary (a) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (Yen mm) Offer Price: (Yen)560 # of Shares Tendered for: 13.6m (up to 20m) % of Total Shares O/S: 20% (up to 29.4%) Transaction Size: (Yen)7,616m Implied Equity Consideration: (Yen)38,080m Implied Enterprise Value: (Yen)47,891m [Download Table] Multiple of Premium -------------------------------------- -------------------------------------- FY 1991 Sales (x): 1.1x 1 Day Prior: 19.1% FY 1991 EBIT: 12.9x 52 wk High: (27.9)% FY 1991 Net Income: 24.7x 52 wk Low: 60.0% FY 1992E Net Income: 22.4x [Download Table] Summary Financials (a) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ((Yen)MM) 11/1990 11/1991 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sales 39,382 40,885 Y-on-Y Growth (%) (1.9) (3.8) Gross Profit 7,809 8,101 Margin (19.8) (19.8) EBIT 3,685 3,708 Margin (9.4) (9.1) Net Income 2,041 1,542 Margin (5.2) (3.8) Net Debt 11,630 9,811 EPS 15.02 11.35 5 Year Share Price Performance (b) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [GRAPH] (a) Source: SDC, Japan Company Handbook, company disclosure material. (b) Source: Nikkei-Needs Database.
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TAB 5
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PREMIA PAID IN SELECTED JAPANESE TENDER OFFERS [Enlarge/Download Table] ANNOUNCEMENT TARGET BUYER OFFER PRICE PREMIUM* ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 9/9/1999 Toho Rayon Teijin 7.8% 2/16/1999 Apollo Electronics Rohm 44.1% 11/10/1998 Komatsu Zenoah Komatsu 23.0% 11/2/1998 Torii Pharmaceutical Japan Tabacco 7.2% 10/16/1998 Tensho Electric Sanko 95.2% 8/31/1998 Daihatsu Co., Ltd. Toyota Motor Corp. 6.8% 4/21/1998 Japan Marine Technologies Ltd. TI Group PLC 56.8% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 4/17/1998 NCR Japan Ltd. NCR Holdings Ltd. 26.5% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 4/2/1998 Biotech K.K. Showa Denko K.K. 3.3% 11/26/1997 Unidux corp. Kanematsu Corp. 72.8% 9/24/1996 Royal Electric Co., Ltd. Ono Warehouse Co., Ltd. 14.0% 3/23/1993 Sakura Rubber Co., Ltd. Management 4.7% Average 30.2% Median 18.5% * Premium over closing price 1 day prior to announcement. Source: Press reports
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PREMIA PAID IN RECENT ASIAN TENDER OFFERS INCLUDES AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND (a)(b)(c) [Mean: 23.0%] [Median: 18.2%] [GRAPH] (a) Australia and New Zealand represent 75.6% of total deals. (b) Premiums calculated to closing price 1 day prior to announcement. (c) For deals where data available. Source: SDC; last 5 years [GOLDMAN SACHS LOGO]
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PREMIA PAID IN RECENT ASIAN TENDER OFFERS EXCLUDES AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND (a)(b)(c) [Mean: 8.6%] [Median: 6.1%] [GRAPH] (a) Includes India, Indonesia, Hong Kong, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand. (b) Premiums calculated to closing price one day prior to announcement. (c) For deals where data available. Source: SDC; last 5 years. [GOLDMAN SACHS LOGO]
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PREMIA PAID IN RECENT US TENDER OFFERS (a) (b) [Mean: 29.2%] [Median: 33.5%] [GRAPH] (a) Premium calculated to closing price 1 day prior to announcement. (b) For deals where data available. Source: SDC; all US tender offers launched since 10/1994 [GOLDMAN SACHS LOGO]
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[GOLDMAN SACHS LOGO] COMPARISON OF SELECTED MINORITY BUYOUTS (a) [Enlarge/Download Table] Premium of Initial vs. Closing Premium of Final Price Stock Price One Day Prior to Percent Increase in vs. Closing Stock Price Announcement Final Price vs. Initial Bid One Day Prior to Announcement [Mean: 17.4]% [Mean: 10.9%] [Mean: 26.0%] [Median: 14.3%] [Median: 8.5%] [Median: 21.4%] [Herbalife A: 2.0%(b)] [Herbalife A: 36.0%] [Herbalife: 38.8%] [Herbalife B: 35.1%(b)] [Herbalife B: 36.0%] [Herbalife: 83.8%] [GRAPH] [GRAPH] [GRAPH] (a) Represents transactions in excess of $100 million from 1989 to 1999 where the acquiror had in excess of approximately 50% ownership prior to transaction and increased to 100% ownership. (b) Based on offer price of $12.50 per share. This initial offer was non-public. (c) Based on offer price of $17 per share. Source: SDC
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TAB 6
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JUNIPER DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW ANALYSIS KEY ASSUMPTIONS - All financial projections have been provided by Juniper management - The projections have been updated in October to reflect the current outlook for the company - FY2000 figures have been produced on a bottom-up, product-by-product, cost item-by-cost item basis according to the annual budgeting process - FY2001-FY2004 figures are produced by extrapolating FY2000, using year-on-year net sales growth and margin ratios as key drivers - FY2000-FY2004 figures reflect the following: - Negative impact of recession and adverse publicity since 1997 bottoming out in 1999 and recovery thereafter - Net sales showing steady growth at 4.0% CAGR but still 14% down on 1997 levels in 2004 - JPY120/US$ in first part of 2000 and JPY110/US$ kept constant thereafter. Gross margin 69.9% in 2000 and 69% flat thereafter - Margins altered in 2000 to reflect introduction of 3D Project and transfer of magazine publishing costs from COS to SG&A. EBIT margin improvement from 10.3% in 2000 to 14.1% in 2004 reflects the fact that approximately 50% of SG&A and 40% of Distribution Expenses are fixed costs - Effective tax rate reduction in 2000 reflects cuts in Japanese corporate tax rate; kept constant thereafter - No significant capex assumed beyond recurring maintenance items (HQ and distribution centers) and minor internet investment - Working capital requirement largely flat
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JAPAN ECONOMIC OUTLOOK FACTORS OF RECOVERY ------------------- - "The possibility of a self-sustaining, private sector demand-led recovery is now in sight" (a) - Conventional economic statistics have underestimated consumption in areas such as cellular phones, internet usage, PCs, etc. --- growth of which has been supported to a great extent by female demand - The GS Research team recently raised its real GDP growth outlook for fiscal 1999 and 2000 to 1.2% and 0.8%, respectively - Impact of the yen appreciation should be mitigated by the progress made by Japanese manufacturers in shifting production overseas and restructuring, and the current environment of general economic expansion at home and abroad - Restructuring-driven earnings rebound can be expected - The GS Research team expects full-year 1999 recurring profits to grow 13.3% - The emergence of the proposed "MegaBank" should serve as a catalyst for more aggressive corporate restructuring, particularly in sectors such as chemicals, steel, shipbuilding and oil - Recently approved industrial revitalization measures such as share exchange schemes should facilitate increased corporate reorganization and M&A activity RISKS AND THREATS ----------------- - A sharper rise in yen than anticipated - The corporate earnings forecast by the GS research already factors in three-month and six-month currency forecasts of (Yen) 103/US$ and (Yen) 93/US$, respectively - However, a yen appreciation sharper than expected will dampen the economy through reductions in exports and capital investment - An earlier-than expected termination of the BOJ's zero interest rate policy instigated by the continued momentum in the economy would also prove negative through pushing down profits of certain highly leveraged firms Source: GS Research (a) "The Bull Story: It's Only Just Begun," Oct. 7, 1999
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JUNIPER DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW ANALYSIS MANAGEMENT CASE (JPY IN MILLIONS) [Enlarge/Download Table] AUGUST 31, 2000-2004 1997A 1998A 1999A 2000E 2001E 2002E 2003E 2004E CAGR ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- --------- NET SALES 203,362 192,458 143,797 150,000 156,000 162,240 168,730 175,479 4.0% Total Cost of Sales (57,278) (62,178) (47,738) (45,138) (48,360) (50,294) (52,306) (54,398) 4.8% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ GROSS PROFIT 146,083 130,280 96,060 104,862 107,640 111,946 116,424 121,081 3.7% --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total Operating Expenses (98,236) (99,853) (75,798) (89,452) (87,785) (90,537) (93,398) (96,374) 1.9% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ EBIT 47,848 30,427 20,261 15,410 19,855 21,409 23,026 24,707 12.5% Taxes (28,030) (16,950) (10,500) (6,935) (8,935) (9,634) (10,362) (11,118) 12.5% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ EBIAT 19,818 13,477 9,761 8,475 10,920 11,775 12,664 13,589 12.5% add: Depreciation 1,650 2,046 1,956 2,841 2,850 2,850 2,850 2,850 add: Decrease in WC (13,337) (7,881) (5,426) (2,731) (328) 507 772 466 less: CapEx (8,254) (1,143) (10,431) (5,916) (1,804) (1,804) (1,804) (1,804) UNLEVERED FREE CASH FLOW (123) 6,499 (4,139) 2,669 11,638 13,328 14,482 15,101 54.2% Net Sales Growth (5.4)% (25.3)% 4.3% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% Gross Margin 71.8% 67.7% 66.8% 69.9% 69.0% 69.0% 69.0% 69.0% EBIT Margin 23.5% 15.8% 14.1% 10.3% 12.7% 13.2% 13.6% 14.1% Depreciation/Sales 0.8% 1.1% 1.4% 1.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.7% 1.6% CapEx/Dep 5.0x 0.6x 5.3x 2.1x 0.6x 0.6x 0.6x 0.6x Source: Juniper management projections [Goldman Sachs Logo]
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JUNIPER DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW ANALYSIS MANAGEMENT CASE (JPY IN MILLIONS EXCEPT PER SHARE DATA) [Download Table] AUGUST 31, 2000E 2001E 2002E 2003E 2004E ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- UNLEVERED FCF (a) 2,669.0 11,638.3 13,328.4 14,482.1 15,101.4 NPV (b) 46,118.0 26% PV OF TERMINAL VALUE (c) 132,328.2 74% --------- ENTERPRISE VALUE 178,446.2 LESS: NET DEBT (d) (21,748.0) ---------- EQUITY VALUE 200,194.2 PER SHARE (e) 1,390 (a) Projections from Juniper management. (b) Assumes mid-year discounting convention; discounted to November 30, 1999. Assumes discount rate of 8.0%. (c) Terminal Value calculated using multiple of LTM EBIT (7.5x). (d) As of August 31, 1999. (e) Assumes 144.0MM shares outstanding. [GOLDMAN SACHS LOGO]
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JUNIPER DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW ANALYSIS SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS (a) (JPY TO MILLIONS, EXCEPT PER SHARE DATA) [Download Table] FINANCIAL SENSITIVITIES ENTERPRISE VALUE TERMINAL MULTIPLE OF 2004E EBIT ----------------------------------------------- 5.5 X 6.5 X 7.5 X 8.5 X 9.5 X ----------------------------------------------- DISCOUNT RATE 6.0% 153,869 173,016 192,164 211,311 230,458 7.0% 148,386 166,762 185,139 203,515 221,892 8.0% 143,159 160,802 178,446 196,090 213,734 9.0% 138,174 155,121 172,067 189,014 205,960 10.0% 133,418 149,701 165,964 182,267 198,549 [Download Table] EQUITY VALUE PER SHARE (b)(c) TERMINAL MULTIPLE OF 2004E EBIT --------------------------------------------- 5.5 X 6.5 X 7.5 X 8.5 X 9.5 X --------------------------------------------- DISCOUNT RATE 6.0% 1,219 1,352 1,485 1,618 1,751 7.0% 1,181 1,309 1,436 1,564 1,692 8.0% 1,145 1,267 1,390 1,512 1,635 9.0% 1,110 1,228 1,346 1,463 1,581 10.0% 1,077 1,190 1,303 1,417 1,530 [Download Table] BUSINESS SENSITIVITIES ENTERPRISE VALUE (d) CHANGE IN SALES GROWTH ----------------------------------------------- -3.0% -1.5% 0.0% 1.5% 3.0% ----------------------------------------------- CHANGE IN -1.0% 144,698 154,726 165,326 176,523 188,341 EBIT MARGIN 0.0% 156,222 167,026 178,446 190,508 203,240 1.0% 167,746 179,327 191,566 204,494 218,138 2.0% 179,271 191,627 204,686 218,479 233,037 3.0% 190,795 203,927 217,806 232,465 247,936 [Download Table] EQUITY VALUE PER SHARE (b)(c)(d) CHANGE IN SALES GROWTH --------------------------------------------- -3.0% -1.5% 0.0% 1.5% 3.0% ----------------------------------------------- CHANGE IN -1.0% 1,156 1,225 1,299 1,377 1,459 EBIT MARGIN 0.0% 1,236 1,311 1,390 1,474 1,562 1.0% 1,316 1,396 1,481 1,571 1,666 2.0% 1,396 1,482 1,572 1,668 1,769 3.0% 1,476 1,567 1,663 1,765 1,872 (a) Based on Juniper management base case projections as of October, 1999; figures discounted to end of November 1999. (b) Assumes net debt of (Yen)(21,748) million as of November, 1999. (c) Assumes 144.0 million primary shares outstanding. (d) Assumes a 8.0% discount rate and a 7.5x EBIT terminal multiple.
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TAB A
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JUNIPER HISTORICAL FINANCIAL OVERVIEW PROFIT AND LOSS STATEMENT (JPY IN MILLIONS) [Enlarge/Download Table] YEARS ENDED AUGUST 31, 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- Total Net Sales 157,556 177,991 212,196 203,362 192,458 Cost of Sales 43,576 47,515 55,588 57,279 62,178 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gross Profit 113,980 130,476 156,608 146,083 130,280 Operating Expenses Distributor Incentives 42,652 47,885 57,044 56,904 57,781 Distribution Expenses 8,324 8,853 9,839 11,173 10,783 Total Selling & Administrative 19,616 24,022 28,355 30,158 31,289 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total Operating Expenses 70,592 80,760 95,238 98,235 99,853 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Operating Profit 43,388 49,716 61,370 47,848 30,427 Other Income (Net) 2,557 1,733 1,309 3,299 (698) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Income Before Income Taxes 45,945 51,449 62,679 51,147 29,729 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net Income 20,604 23,062 28,081 23,117 12,779 Basic Earnings Per Share 138 154 189 159 89 Dividends Per Share 140 190 125 100 100 COMMON SIZE ANALYSIS Cost of Sales 27.7% 26.7% 26.2% 28.2% 32.3% Gross Profit 72.3% 73.3% 73.8% 71.8% 67.7% EBIT Margin 27.5% 27.9% 28.9% 23.5% 15.8% Net Income 13.1% 13.0% 13.2% 11.4% 6.6% YEAR-ON-YEAR GROWTH RATES Net Sales 13.0% 19.2% -4.2% -5.4% Net Income 11.9% 21.8% -17.7% -44.7% Source: 20-F [Download Table] YEARS ENDED AUGUST 31, CAGR 1999 94-99 -------- ------- Total Net Sales 143,797 -1.8% Cost of Sales 47,738 1.8% -------- ------- Gross Profit 96,059 -3.4% Operating Expenses Distributor Incentives 41,350 -0.6% Distribution Expenses 8,278 -0.1% Total Selling & Administrative 26,170 5.9% -------- ------- Total Operating Expenses 75,798 1.4% -------- ------- Operating Profit 20,261 -14.1% Other Income (Net) 746 -21.8% -------- ------- Income Before Income Taxes 21,007 -14.5% -------- ------- Net Income 10,507 -12.6% Basic Earnings Per Share 73 -11.9% Dividends Per Share 100 -6.5% COMMON SIZE ANALYSIS Cost of Sales 33.2% Gross Profit 66.8% EBIT Margin 14.1% Net Income 7.3% YEAR-ON-YEAR GROWTH RATES Net Sales -25.3% Net Income -17.8% Source: 20-F
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JUNIPER HISTORICAL FINANCIAL OVERVIEW CASH FLOW STATEMENT (JPY IN MILLIONS) [Enlarge/Download Table] YEARS ENDED AUGUST 31, 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 -------- -------- --------- --------- --------- --------- Operating Activities Net Income 20,604 23,062 28,081 23,117 12,779 10,507 Adjustments Depreciation and Amort. 1,177 1,435 1,128 1,650 2,046 1,955 Other 7,043 6,708 5,936 (15,709) (7,661) (5,309) Net Cash from Operating Activities 28,824 31,205 35,145 9,058 7,164 7,153 Investing Activities Purchase of PPE (961) (25,174) (5,359) (8,254) (1,143) (10,431) (Inc)/Dec in Short-Term Investments (a) (21,078) 692 29,856 (11,295) (1,710) 1,876 Other 1,948 (448) (622) 4,279 45 1,311 Net Cash from Investing Activities (20,091) (24,930) 23,875 (15,270) (2,808) (7,244) Financing Activities Cash Dividends Paid (13,466) (26,183) (25,436) (14,682) (14,415) (14,421) Repurchase of Common Stock (15,000) (8,888) (826) Net Cash from Financing Activities (13,466) (26,183) (40,436) (23,570) (15,241) (14,421) Net Increase (Decrease) in Cash and Cash Equivalents (4,733) (19,908) 18,584 (29,782) (10,885) (14,512) Cash and Cash Equivalents, Beginning 66,281 61,548 41,640 60,224 30,442 19,557 Cash and Cash Equivalents, End 61,548 41,640 60,224 30,442 19,557 5,045 (a) Net cash flow from change in investment funds and short-term investments Source: 20-F
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JUNIPER HISTORICAL FINANCIAL OVERVIEW BALANCE SHEET (JPY IN MILLIONS) [Enlarge/Download Table] YEARS ENDED AUGUST 31, 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 --------- --------- -------- --------- -------- --------- Current Assets Cash and Cash Equivalents 61,548 41,640 60,224 30,442 19,557 5,045 Investments (a) 29,690 31,997 4,357 16,053 17,529 16,703 Inventory 10,936 11,397 12,476 16,707 16,640 9,191 Other Current Assets 4,042 2,460 2,303 5,577 6,054 5,938 Total Current Assets 106,216 87,494 79,360 68,779 59,780 36,877 Property, Plant and Equipment 2,519 26,791 31,171 37,594 36,639 44,969 Other Assets 7,800 7,525 5,645 3,857 3,627 2,115 Total Assets 116,535 121,810 116,176 110,230 100,046 83,961 Current Liabilities Accounts Payable 11,762 13,532 15,940 16,408 17,949 4,248 Income Taxes Payable 14,961 15,952 19,591 14,211 7,486 5,187 Other Current Liabilities 10,641 14,444 16,782 16,251 13,733 17,562 Total Current Liabilities 37,364 43,928 52,313 46,870 39,168 26,997 Shareholders' Equity 79,171 77,882 63,863 63,360 60,878 56,964 Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity 116,535 121,810 116,176 110,230 100,046 83,961 (a) Investment funds and short-term investments Source: 20-F

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