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Petrochina Co Ltd – ‘SC 13E3/A’ on 12/23/05 re: Jilin Chemical Industrial Co Ltd – EX-99.(C).7

On:  Friday, 12/23/05, at 6:01am ET   ·   Accession #:  1145549-5-2156   ·   File #:  5-50686

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  As Of                Filer                Filing    For·On·As Docs:Size              Issuer               Agent

12/23/05  Petrochina Co Ltd                 SC 13E3/A              8:1.9M Jilin Chemical Industrial Co Ltd  RR DONN… FundSuiteArc/FA

Amendment to Tender-Offer Statement — Going-Private Transaction   —   Schedule 13E-3
Filing Table of Contents

Document/Exhibit                   Description                      Pages   Size 

 1: SC 13E3/A   Petrochina Sc 13E-3/A                               HTML    106K 
 2: EX-99.(C).1  EX-99.(C).1 Update on Potential Acquisition of     HTML    170K 
                          the Minority Interests in Jilin Chemical               
 3: EX-99.(C).2  EX-99.(C).2 Project 517 - Preliminary Transaction  HTML     19K 
                          & Valuation Considerations, Dated May                  
                          23, 2005                                               
 4: EX-99.(C).3  EX-99.(C).3 Project Chunhui, Dated June 23, 2005   HTML    285K 
 5: EX-99.(C).4  EX-99.(C).4 Data Book - Interim Update of Trading  HTML    142K 
                          & Premium Information, Dated August 3,                 
                          2005                                                   
 6: EX-99.(C).5  EX-99.(C).5 Updated Executive Timetable and Data   HTML    225K 
                          Book, Dated October 14, 2005                           
 7: EX-99.(C).6  EX-99.(C).6 Data Book, Dated October 25, 2005      HTML     88K 
 8: EX-99.(C).7  EX-99.(C).7 Data Book, Dated October 26, 2005      HTML    108K 


EX-99.(C).7   —   EX-99.(C).7 Data Book, Dated October 26, 2005
Exhibit Table of Contents

Page (sequential) | (alphabetic) Top
 
11st Page   -   Filing Submission
"1 Peer Group Comparables and Research Views
"2 Market Data Review
"3 Q&Z Analysis

This exhibit is an HTML Document rendered as filed.  [ Alternative Formats ]



  exv99wxcyw7  

 

Exhibit 99(c)(7)

REQUESTED BY HONG KONG SECURITIES AND FUTURES COMMISSION
THE FINANCIAL AND OTHER INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THE PRESENTATION WAS EXTRACTED FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE INFORMATION AND WAS NOT INTENDED TO BE USED IN THE COMPOSITE DOCUMENT IN RELATION TO THE H SHARE OFFER AND WAS THEREFORE NOT PREPARED WITH A VIEW TO ENSURING COMPLIANCE WITH RULE 10 OF THE TAKEOVERS CODE.

 



 

Confidential
Project Chunhui
DATA BOOK
October 26, 2005
(CITIGROUP LOGO)

 



 

PROJECT CHUNHUI / OCTOBER 2005
Table of Contents
 
 
 
(CITIGROUP LOGO)

 



 

PROJECT CHUNHUI / OCTOBER 2005
1 PEER GROUP COMPARABLES AND RESEARCH VIEWS
(CITIGROUP LOGO)

 



 

PROJECT CHUNHUI / OCTOBER 2005
Traded Refining and Petrochemical Companies
     Information of traded petrochemical companies (as of Oct 25, 2005)
                                                         
Valuation Multiples   Share     Market     Price / EPS     Firm     Firm Value / EBITDA  
(Dollar in Millions, Except Stock Price)   Price     Cap(a)     2005E     2006E     Value (b)     2005E     2006E  
          (in US$MM)                 (in US$MM)              
 
Y (A Share)
  RMB 5.06   $ 1,932       81.6x       28.9x     $ 2,424       13.0x       10.2x  
Chinese Cos — A shares
                                                       
Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd
  RMB 3.43     2,801       7.6x       8.4x       3,537       4.7x       5.3x  
China Petroleum and Chemical (Sinopec)
    3.82     39,940       8.6       7.9       62,692       5.0       4.6  
 
          Mean     8.1x       8.2x               4.8x       5.0x  
Y (H Share)
  HK$2.48   $ 1,932       41.6x       14.8x     $ 2,445       13.2x       10.3x  
Chinese Cos — H shares
                                                       
Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd
  HK$2.45     2,801       5.7x       6.2x       3,569       4.7x       5.3x  
Sinopec Zhenhai Refining & Chemical Co
    8.55     2,782       9.2       7.6       2,609       4.4       3.9  
PetroChina
    5.80     133,883       6.9       6.9       142,112       4.1       4.0  
China Petroleum and Chemical (Sinopec)
    3.20     39,940       6.9       6.4       63,674       4.7       4.3  
 
          Mean     7.2x       6.8x               4.5x       4.4x  
 
          Median     6.9       6.6               4.5       4.2  
Other Asian Cos
                                                       
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corp
  TW$50.00   $ 7,948       6.4x       6.9x     $ 9,543       9.5x       9.7x  
Formosa Petrochemicals Corp
  TW$61.70     16,384       8.7       9.1       20,864       9.2       9.0  
National Petrochemical PCL
  THB 127.00     964       9.4       9.2       1,006       6.3       6.3  
PTT Public Co Ltd
  THB 216.00     14,788       7.9       7.3       19,389       7.0       6.5  
S Oil Corporation
  KRW 78,700     8,420       7.6       7.9       9,554       8.0       8.9  
Showa Shell Sekiyu KK
  JPY 1,356.00     4,428       10.2     NA       5,262       6.1       7.3  
Singapore Petroleum Company
  SGD 4.82     1,431       6.4       6.1       1,751       7.4       5.5  
TonenGeneral Sekiyu KK
  JPY 1,238.00     6,356       27.1     NA       6,954       10.5       10.5  
 
          Mean     10.5x       7.8x               8.0x       8.0x  
 
          Median     8.3       7.6               7.7       8.1  
 
Source: Estimates based on IBES.
(a)   Market cap for all classes of shares, which is sum of H-shares’ share price multipled by number of H-shares outstanding and A-shares’ share price multipled by number of legal person shares and A-shares outstanding. Firm value based on net debt as of Dec 31, 2004 from Company’s annual report
 
(b)   Firm Value equals market equity value plus straight debt, minority interest, less investments in unconsolidated affiliates and cash.
 
(c)   Share price updated as of October 25, 2005.
We have used Bloomberg estimates for 2005E and 2006E EPS and EBITDA
The average China H-share P/E is approximately 7x, compared with Y’s P/E of 41.6x (2005E) and 14.8x (2006E).
(CITIGROUP LOGO)

1



 

PROJECT CHUNHUI / OCTOBER 2005
Impact of Share Price on Trading Multiples
The table below illustrates the impact of Y’s H-share price on the implied trading multiples
Implied Trading Multiples for Y at a Variety of H-Shares Prices
                                                         
Valuation Multiples   Share     Market     Price / EPS     Firm     Firm Value / EBITDA  
(Dollar in Millions, Except Stock Price)   Price     Cap     2005E     2006E     Value     2005E     2006E  
          (in US$MM)                 (in US$MM)              
 
Y (H Share)
  HK$2.48   $ 1,932       41.6x       14.8x     $ 2,445       13.2x       10.3x  
 
                                                       
Implied Multiples
  HK$1.50   $ 1,171       25.2x       8.9x     $ 1,684       9.1x       7.1x  
 
  HK$1.75   $ 1,366       29.4x       10.4x     $ 1,879       10.1x       7.9x  
 
  HK$2.00   $ 1,561       33.7x       11.9x     $ 2,074       11.2x       8.7x  
 
  HK$2.25   $ 1,756       37.9x       13.4x     $ 2,270       12.2x       9.5x  
 
  HK$2.50   $ 1,951       42.1x       14.9x     $ 2,465       13.3x       10.4x  
 
  HK$2.75   $ 2,146       46.3x       16.4x     $ 2,660       14.3x       11.2x  
 
  HK$3.00   $ 2,342       50.5x       17.9x     $ 2,855       15.4x       12.0x  
 
Source: Estimates based on IBES.
 
(a)   Market cap for all classes of shares, which is sum of H-shares’ share price multipled by number of H-shares outstanding and A-shares’ share price multipled by number of legal person shares and A-shares outstanding. Firm value based on net debt as of Dec 31, 2004 from Company’s annual report
 
(b)   Firm Value equals market equity value plus straight debt, minority interest, less investments in unconsolidated affiliates and cash.
 
(c)   Share price updated as of October 25, 2005.
The implied valuation multiples for HK$1.50 / share to HK$3.00 / share range from 25.2x to 50.5x (P/E 2005E), 8.9x to 17.9x (P/E 2006E) and 9.1x — 15.4x (FV / EBITDA 2005E).
The 8.9x P/E 2006E (HK$1.5/share) is inline with the peer group multiples.
(CITIGROUP LOGO)

2



 

PROJECT CHUNHUI / OCTOBER 2005
Research Views on Company Y
      Research Summary (Last 6 months)
             
Research Firm   Rating   Target Price   Report Date
Deutsche Bank
  Sell   HK$1.50   July 11, 2005
JP Morgan
  Not Covered   N. A.   July 13, 2005
DBS Vickers Securities
  Not Rated   N. A.   August 15, 2005
Auerbach Grayson
  Sell   N. A.   August 15, 2005
Research Commentary
  “We have cut FY05F earnings by 52% to factor in the 2Q05 weakness in olefin and refining margins and Deutsche Bank’s upward revision in Brent oil estimate to US$56.5/bbl for 2H05F. We regard privatisation by the parent, the prospect of which has been discussed at length in local media, as possible, but a technical difficulty may prevent it from happening soon, in our opinion... Given the high level of connected transactions between Y and X, we believe there are grounds for privatisation. However, the pricing difference (35%) between A and H shares presents a technical difficulty.” (Deutsche Bank, Jul 11)
 
  “Y has been suffering due to weak refining margins since 4Q04. The sharp drop in its 1Q05 earnings was mainly driven by poor performance in the refining business... The company cannot distribute dividend unless it offsets the accumulated loss of Rmb700 million.” (JP Morgan, Jul 13)
 
  “We expect the company’s profit level in 2H05 will depend on the improvement of the oil refining business. Based on the current situation, we won’t give an optimistic valuation. We believe the company’s oil refining business was still either in a loss or at the break-even point in July and August...” (Auerbach Grayson, Aug 15)
 
  Dimmer outlook in 2H. We are more cautious about Y’s earnings outlook in the second half in view of the rising crude price in market. Unless China removes the price regulation of petroleum products in the short-term, we expect Y’s refineries to face higher losses in 2H, as the market crude price has advanced 12% since the end of 1H2005...” (DBS Vickers, Aug 15)
There is limited research coverage on Company Y.
Most research analysts have revised down their forecasts for Y on the back of worse than expected 1H05 results and concerns over the PRC’s below market refining margins.
(CITIGROUP LOGO)

3



 

PROJECT CHUNHUI / OCTOBER 2005
2   MARKET DATA REVIEW
(CITIGROUP LOGO)

 



 

PROJECT CHUNHUI / OCTOBER 2005
Overview of Y’s H-Share Price Performance
  The chart below illustrates the share price performance of Y’s H-Share over the last 2 years
 
  This analysis includes ADR shares
3.5 350.00 3.0 300.00 250.00 2.5 200.00 2.0 150.00 Shares)
1.5
100.00
H-Share (HK$/share) 1.0 50.00 Trading Volume (Mn
0.5 -Oct-03 Jan-04 Apr-04 Jul-04 Oct-04 Jan-05 Apr-05 Jul-05
Volume (Millions of shares) Price (HK$/Share) 6 Month Average 12 Month Average
(LINE GRAPH)
Note: As of October 25, 2005 (Source: Bloomberg)
Y’s average 6 month share price is HK$1.98 / share as illustrated on the share price chart.
Y’s average 12 month H-share price is HK$2.24 / share.
Y’s H-share price is currently trading at a 25% and 11% premium to its 6 month and 12 month averages, respectively.
(CITIGROUP LOGO)

4



 

PROJECT CHUNHUI / OCTOBER 2005
H-Share Turnover Information
200 186.5 176.2 180 161.9 160 140 120 100 85.7 81.7 74.1 78.2 80 60 40.6 44.0 40 20.7 20 8.3 6.8 Trading Volume (mm shares) - - 2.15 2.15 — 2.20 — 2.25 — 2.30 — 2.35 — 2.40 — 2.45 — 2.50 — 2.55 — 2.60 — 2.65 — 2.70 -2.19 2.24 2.29 2.34 2.39 2.44 2.49 2.54 2.59 2.64 2.69 2.75 Price (HKD)
(BAR GRAPH)
100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% Cumulative Volume (%) 20% 10% 0% 2.15 2.20 2.25 2.30 2.35 2.40 2.45 2.50 2.55 2.60 2.65 2.70 2.75 Price (HKD)
(LINE GRAPH)
                                                                 
Price   Last 10 Days   Last 20 Days   Last 30 Days   Last 36 Days
     
    Trading           Trading           Trading       Trading   % of Total
    Volume   % of Total   Volume   % of Total   Volume   % of Total   Volume   H- Shares
    (MM)   H- Shares   (MM)   H- Shares   (MM)   H- Shares   (MM)    
 
   < 2.15
                                               
2.15 - 2.19
    8.3       0.9 %     8.3       0.9 %     8.3       0.9 %     8.3       0.9 %
2.20 - 2.24
    14.6       1.5 %     14.6       1.5 %     20.7       2.1 %     20.7       2.1 %
2.25 - 2.29
    29.9       3.1 %     31.7       3.3 %     74.1       7.7 %     74.1       7.7 %
2.30 - 2.34
    13.3       1.4 %     27.5       2.8 %     40.6       4.2 %     40.6       4.2 %
2.35 - 2.39
    30.4       3.2 %     46.0       4.8 %     78.2       8.1 %     78.2       8.1 %
2.40 - 2.44
    61.8       6.4 %     68.0       7.0 %     149.4       15.5 %     161.9       16.8 %
2.45 - 2.49
    5.4       0.6 %     5.4       0.6 %     77.1       8.0 %     85.7       8.9 %
2.50 - 2.54
                            92.0       9.5 %     186.5       19.3 %
2.55 - 2.59
                            25.6       2.7 %     44.0       4.6 %
2.60 - 2.64
                            68.7       7.1 %     81.7       8.5 %
2.65 - 2.69
                            140.7       14.6 %     176.2       18.3 %
2.70 - 2.75
                                        6.8       0.7 %
   > 2.75
                                               
Note: The days shown above are active trading days. Shares equivalent to the total number of H shares were traded in the last 36 days. Information as of October 21, 2005.
67.67% of Y’s H shares have traded below HK$2.55 in the last 36 days.
Close to 100% of Y’s H shares have traded at or below HK$2.70 in the last 36 days.
We have used HK$2.70/share as an example price only to show some trading analyses.
During the last 36 days, 51.4% of Y’s H shares have changed hands at a price of HK$2.5/ share or above.
(CITIGROUP LOGO)

5



 

PROJECT CHUNHUI / OCTOBER 2005
H-Share Turnover Analysis
  In the 8 day period between March 8th and 17th, 329 million shares traded hands at a value of greater than HK$2.70/share which represents 34% of the outstanding shares. One day after this time period, 30% of shares were traded on a single day at a price below HK$2.70/share
100% share 38% share turnover in
3.5 turnover for share 350.00 36 days price over 3.0 HK$2.8/share 306% share 300.00 turnover in last 7 months 250.00 2.5 83% share turnover for share 200.00 2.0 price over HK$2.7/share 150.00
1.5
100.00
H-Share (HK$/share) 1.0 50.00 0.5 — Trading Volume (Mn Shares)
Oct-03 Jan-04 Apr-04 Jul-04 Oct-04 Jan-05 Apr-05 Jul-05 Volume (Millions of             shares) Price (HK$/Share) 6 Month Average HK$2.7/share HK$2.8/share
(LINE GRAPH)
In the last 2 years, Y’s H-share price has traded over HK$2.70/share for 33 days and during these days 83% of the shares were turned-over.
Y’s H-share price traded over HK$2.80/share for 13 days, representing 38% of turnover
(CITIGROUP LOGO)

6



 

PROJECT CHUNHUI / OCTOBER 2005
Comparison of A-Share and H-Share Trading Patterns
  Based on HKSE guidance, the A-Share offer price should be at a similar premium to the H-Share Offer price
 
  Equivalent to 100% of H-Shares have traded at or below HK$2.70 per H share
  Ÿ   This price level represents the top-end of the trading spectrum and close to 100% of H share volumes traded below this level during the last trading cycle of 36 days and is at a 36.5% premium to the average 6 month price
 
  Ÿ   Applying similar 36.5% premium to average six month price of A shares, gives an A share of RMB 5.04 per share
 
  Ÿ   At this price level, 99.6% of A share volumes traded below this value during the last trading cycle of 53 days
  Price of HK$2.80 per H share, represents a 42% premium to average 6 month price; applying similar premium to average six month price of A share, gives an A share price of RMB 5.25 per share
 
  The chart below illustrates the share price performance of Y’s A-Share since 2003
Y’s A Shares Price Performance (2003 — 2005 YTD)
7.5 35.00 6.5 30.00 5.5 25.00 4.5 20.00 3.5 15.00 Shares) 2.5 10.00
A-Share (RMB/share) 1.5 5.00 Trading Volume (Mn
0.5 -Jan- Apr- Jul- Oct- Jan- Apr- Jul- Oct- Jan- Apr- Jul- Oct-
03 03 03 03 04 04 04 04 05 05 05 05
Volume (Millions of shares) Price (RMB/Share) 6 Month Average 12 Month Average
(LINE GRAPH)
Note: As of October 25, 2005 (Source: Bloomberg)
Y’s average 6 month share price is RMB3.70 / share as illustrated on the share price chart.
Y’s average 12 month share price is RMB4.62 / share.
Y’s A-share price is currently trading at a 37% and 9% premium to its 6 month and 12 month averages, respectively.
(CITIGROUP LOGO)

7



 

PROJECT CHUNHUI / OCTOBER 2005
A-Share Turnover Information
50.0 100% 45.2 45.0 90% 40.0 80% 35.0 32.9 70% 29.7 29.0 30.0 60% 25.0 22.3 50%
20.5
20.0 40% 15.0 13.1 30% 10.0 7.4
(BAR GRAPH)
Cumulative Volume (%) Trading Volume (mm shares) 20% 5.0 10% 0.0
- 0% < 3.90 3.90 — 4.05 — 4.20 — 4.35 — 4.50 — 4.65 — 4.80 — 4.95 -
3.90 4.05 4.20 4.35 4.50 4.65 4.80 4.95 5.10 4.04 4.19 4.34 4.49 4.64 4.79 4.94 5.10
Price (RMB) Price (RMB)
(BAR GRAPH)
Turnover Information
                                                                 
Price   Last 15 Days     Last 30 Days     Last 45 Days     Last 53 Days  
    Trading             Trading             Trading             Trading        
    Volume     % of Total     Volume     % of Total     Volume     % of Total     Volume     % of Total  
    (MM)     A- Shares     (MM)     A- Shares     (MM)     A- Shares     (MM)     A- Shares  
 
    < 3.90
          0.0 %           0.0 %           0.0 %     0.0       0.0 %
3.90 - 4.04
    0.3       0.2 %     0.3       0.2 %     0.4       0.2 %     13.1       6.5 %
4.05 - 4.19
    2.4       1.2 %     2.5       1.2 %     7.0       3.5 %     20.5       10.2 %
4.20 - 4.34
    5.9       3.0 %     9.8       4.9 %     32.8       16.4 %     32.9       16.5 %
4.35 - 4.49
    5.4       2.7 %     14.2       7.1 %     29.7       14.8 %     29.7       14.8 %
4.50 - 4.64
    18.2       9.1 %     29.1       14.6 %     45.2       22.6 %     45.2       22.6 %
4.65 - 4.79
    8.7       4.3 %     12.9       6.5 %     29.0       14.5 %     29.0       14.5 %
4.80 - 4.94
    0.2       0.1 %     3.5       1.7 %     22.3       11.1 %     22.3       11.1 %
4.95 - 5.10
          0.0 %     1.2       0.6 %     7.4       3.7 %     7.4       3.7 %
    > 5.10
          0.0 %           0.0 %           0.0 %           0.0 %
Note: The days shown above are active trading days. Shares equivalent to the total number of A shares were traded in the last 53 days. Information as of October 21, 2005.
Close to 50% of Y’s A shares have traded below RMB4.50 in the last 53 days.
Over 80% of Y’s A shares have traded at or below RMB4.80 in the last 53 days.
During the last 53 days, 51.9% of Y’s A shares have changed hands at a price of RMB4.50 / share or above.
(CITIGROUP LOGO)

8



 

PROJECT CHUNHUI / OCTOBER 2005
A-Share Turnover Analysis
  During 2005, Y’s A-shares have turned-over 4.8x and in the last 6 months, when Y’s share price has been below RMB 5.04 / share, the shares have turned close to 3x
(SHARE GRAPH)
7.0 114% share turnover 25.00 for price over 310% share turnover 6.0 RMB5.25/share in last 6 months 20.00
5.0 15.00
4.0 144% share turnover 10.00 for price over 100% share A-Share (RMB/share) 3.0 RMB5.04/share turnover in 53 5.00
days Trading Volume (Mn Shares)
2.0 -Jan-05 Apr-05 Jul-05 Oct-05
Volume (Millions of shares) Price (RMB/Share) 6 Month Average RMB 5.04/share RMB 5.25/share
During 2005, Y’s A-shares have turned-over 4.8x, with the majority of this trading volume focused on the last 6 months.
(CITIGROUP LOGO)

9



 

PROJECT CHUNHUI / OCTOBER 2005
3   Q&Z ANALYSIS
(CITIGROUP LOGO)

 



 

PROJECT CHUNHUI / OCTOBER 2005
Overview of Q
    Headquartered in Jinzhou, Liaoning, Q produces and markets gasoline, diesel and organic chemical products
 
 
China Petroleum Gas Co. and China United Oil Co. are the major suppliers for Q, accounting for approximately 90% of the supply of crude oil
 
    In 2004, Q processed approximately 6.1 million tons of crude
 
    X holds 80.95% stake in Q with the remaining 19.05% free-float
 
         There are no institutions owning greater than 0.1%
 
    Public news sources suggest that Shenglong Securities covers Q and recommends it as a sell
(SHAREGRAPH)
Market Cap: RMB 3,032 million 25 6.5
Firm Value: RMB 3,378 million
5.5 20 4.5 15 3.5 10 2.5 (Mn Shares)
5 A-Share (RMB/share) 1.5 Trading Volume
0.5 0 Oct- Jan- Apr- Jul- Oct- Jan- Apr- Jul-
03 04 04 04 04 05 05 05 Volume (Millions of             shares) Price (RMB/Share) 6 Month Average 3 Month Average 12 Month Average
                 
            9 Months Ended  
(RMB mm)   2004     2005  
 
Revenue
    15,038.3       13,533.5  
EBIT
    357.9       (783.0 )
Net Income
    267.7       (800.1 )
 
Total Assets
    2,944.6       2,521.1  
Cash Flow from Operations
    (271.5 )     160.1  
 
Source: Sina Finance Website
Q is a refining and petrochemical company, 80.95% owned by X.
Its current market cap of Q is RMB 3 billion (US$0.4 billion).
Q’s current share price is RMB 3.85 / share and its 3, 6 and 12 month average share prices are RMB 3.37, 3.13 and 4.11 / share respectively.
(CITIGROUP LOGO)

10



 

PROJECT CHUNHUI / OCTOBER 2005
Q’s A-Share Turnover Analysis
  During 2005, Q’s A-shares have turned-over 4.8x and in the last 6 months, when Q’s share price has been below both RMB 4.2 / share and RMB 4.4 / share, the shares have turned close to 3.7x
(SHAREGRAPH)
90.8% share turnover for a 100% share price over both RMB4.2 and turnover in 30 6.0 RMB4.4/share days 25 5.0 369% share turnover 20 in last 6 months 4.0 15
3.0 10
A-Share (RMB / share) 2.0 5 1.0 0 Trading Volume (Mn Shares)
Jan-05 Apr-05 Jul-05 Oct-05 Volume (Millions of shares) Price (RMB/Share) 6 Month Average RMB 4.2 / share RMB 4.4 / share
During 2005, Q’s A-shares have turned-over 4.8x.
(CITIGROUP LOGO)

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PROJECT CHUNHUI / OCTOBER 2005
Overview of Z
  Headquartered in Panjin, Liaoning Province, Z is principally engaged in exploration, development and sale of oil and natural gas
 
  In 2004, Z produced approximately 0.9 million tons of crude oil, generating approximately 99.3% of total revenue
 
  In 2004, the Company also produced approximately 18.6 million cubic meters of natural gas
 
  PetroChina holds 81.82% stake in Z with remaining 18.18% free-float
    There are no institutions owning greater than 0.1%
  Public news sources suggest that Shenglong Securities covers Z and recommends it as a sell
(SHAREGRAPH)
11.5 30
Market Cap: RMB 8,052 million 10.5 Firm Value: RMB 6,194 million 25 9.5 20 8.5 15 7.5 10
A-Share (RMB/share) 6.5 5 5.5 0 Oct- Jan- Apr- Jul- Oct- Jan- Apr- Jul- Trading Volume (Mn Shares)
03 04 04 04 04 05 05 05 Volume (Millions of             shares) Price (RMB/Share) 6 Month Average 3 Month Average 12 Month Average
Note: As of October 25, 2005 (Source: Bloomberg)
                 
            6 Months Ended  
(RMB mm)   2004     2005  
 
Revenue
    1,436.5       794.8  
EBIT
    943.0       529.4  
Net Income
    618.6       367.7  
 
Total Assets
    3,399.4       3,332.9  
Cash Flow from Operations
    830.9       521.3  
 
Source: Company’s Interim Report
Z is a PRC focused E&P company that explores for and produces oil and natural gas.
Its current market cap of Z is RMB 8 billion (US$1 billion).
Z’s current share price is RMB 7.3 / share and its 3, 6 and 12 month average share prices are RMB 6.87, 6.58 and 6.89 / share respectively.
(CITIGROUP LOGO)

12



 

PROJECT CHUNHUI / OCTOBER 2005
Z’s A-Share Turnover Analysis
  During 2005, Z’s A-shares have turned-over 2.6x and the shares have not exceeded either RMB 8.05 / share or RMB 8.42 / share
(SHAREGRAPH)
0% shares traded above
100% share RMB8.05 or RMB8.42 / share turnover in 52
8.5 days 20
171% share 8.0 turnover in last 6
15 months 7.5 7.0 10 6.5 5
A-Share (RMB / share) 6.0
5.5 0 Trading Volumen (Mn Shares)
Jan-05 Apr-05 Jul-05 Oct-05 Volume (Millions of shares) Price (RMB/Share) 6 Month Average RMB 8.1 / share RMB 8.4 / share
During 2005, Z’s A-shares have turned-over 2.6x.
(CITIGROUP LOGO)

13



 

PROJECT CHUNHUI / OCTOBER 2005
Important Notice
Any terms set forth herein are intended for discussion purposes only and are subject to the final terms as set forth in separate definitive written agreements.
Prior to entering into any transaction contemplated hereby (a “Transaction”) you should determine, without reliance upon us or our affiliates, the economic risks and merits (and independently determine that you are able to assume these risks), as well as the legal, tax and accounting characterizations and consequences of any such Transaction. In this regard, by accepting this presentation, you acknowledge that (a) we are not in the business of providing (and you are not relying on us for) legal, tax or accounting advice, (b) there may be legal, tax or accounting risks associated with any Transaction, (c) you should receive (and rely on) separate and qualified legal, tax and accounting advice and (d) you should apprise senior management in your organization as to such legal, tax and accounting advice (and any risks associated with any Transaction) and our disclaimer as to these matters.

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14


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