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Security Capital Assurance Ltd · S-1/A · On 5/23/06

Filed On 5/23/06 9:30pm ET   ·   SEC File 333-133066   ·   Accession Number 930413-6-3973

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  As Of               Filer                 Filing     As/For/On Docs:Pgs              Issuer               Agent

 5/24/06  Security Capital Assurance Ltd    S-1/A                  5:464                                    Command Financi..Corp/FA

Pre-Effective Amendment to Registration Statement (General Form)   ·   Form S-1
Filing Table of Contents

Document/Exhibit                   Description                      Pages   Size 

 1: S-1/A       Pre-Effective Amendment to Registration Statement   HTML  3,148K 
                          (General Form)                                         
 2: EX-3.1      Articles of Incorporation/Organization or By-Laws      7     22K 
 3: EX-3.2      Articles of Incorporation/Organization or By-Laws     36    126K 
 4: EX-23.3     Consent of Experts or Counsel                       HTML      4K 
 5: EX-99.1     Miscellaneous Exhibit                                  1      5K 


S-1/A   ·   Pre-Effective Amendment to Registration Statement (General Form)
Document Table of Contents

Page (sequential) | (alphabetic) Top
 
11st Page
4Prospectus Summary
12Risk Factors
32Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
34Formation Transactions
35Use of Proceeds
36Dividend Policy
37Capitalization
38Dilution
39Selected Combined Financial Information
41Pro Forma Financial Information
46Management s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
88Industry Overview
91Business
124Management
135Principal and Selling Shareholder
136Certain Relationships and Related Party Transactions
147Description of Share Capital
157Shares Eligible for Future Sale
158Certain Tax Considerations
170Underwriting
175Validity of Common Shares
"Experts
"Additional Information
"Enforceability of Civil Liabilities Under United States Federal Securities Laws and Other Matters
177Glossary of Selected Insurance and Other Related Terms
181Index to Financial Statements
182Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm
183Combined Balance Sheets at December 31, 2005 and 2004
184Combined Statements of Operations and Comprehensive Income for the years ended December 31, 2005, 2004 and 2003
185Combined Statements of Changes in Shareholders Equity for the years ended December 31, 2005, 2004 and 2003
186Combined Statements of Cash Flows for the years ended December 31, 2005, 2004 and 2003
187Notes to Combined Financial Statements
222Interim Condensed Combined Balance Sheets at December 31, 2005 and March 31, 2006 (unaudited)
224Interim Condensed Combined Statements of Operations and Comprehensive Income for the three months ended March 31, 2006 and 2005 (unaudited)
225Interim Condensed Combined Statements of Changes in Shareholders Equity for the three months ended March 31, 2006 and 2005 (unaudited)
227Interim Condensed Combined Statements of Cash Flows for the three months ended March 31, 2006 and 2005 (unaudited)
228Notes to Interim Condensed Combined Financial Statements

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As filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on May 23, 2006

Registration No. 333-133066





UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549


AMENDMENT NO. 1
TO
FORM S-1

REGISTRATION STATEMENT UNDER THE SECURITIES ACT OF 1933


SECURITY CAPITAL ASSURANCE LTD
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

 

 

 

 

Bermuda

 

6351

 

Not Applicable

(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation or organization)

 

(Primary Standard Industrial
Classification Code Number)

 

(I.R.S. Employer Identification Number)

One Bermudiana Road
Hamilton HM 11, Bermuda
(441) 292-8515
(Address, including zip code, and telephone number, including area code, of
registrant’s principal executive offices)

CT Corporation System
111 Eighth Avenue
New York, New York 10011
(212) 590-9200
(Name, address, including zip code, and telephone number, including area code,
of agent for service)


Copies to:

 

 

Michael A. Becker, Esq.
Kenneth W. Orce, Esq.
Cahill Gordon & Reindel
LLP
80 Pine Street
New York, New York 10005
(212) 701-3000

Lee A. Meyerson, Esq.
Simpson Thacher & Bartlett LLP
425 Lexington Avenue
New York, New York 10017
(212) 455-2000



          Approximate date of commencement of proposed sale to the public: As soon as practicable after the effective date of this registration statement.

          If any of the securities being registered on this Form are to be offered on a delayed or continuous basis pursuant to Rule 415 under the Securities Act of 1933, check the following box.   o

          If this Form is filed to register additional securities for an offering pursuant to Rule 462(b) under the Securities Act, please check the following box and list the Securities Act registration statement number of the earlier effective registration statement for the same offering.   o

          If this Form is a post-effective amendment filed pursuant to Rule 462(c) under the Securities Act, check the following box and list the Securities Act registration statement number of the earlier effective registration statement for the same offering.    o

          If this Form is a post-effective amendment filed pursuant to Rule 462(d) under the Securities Act, check the following box and list the Securities Act registration statement number of the earlier effective registration statement for the same offering.   o




The registrant hereby amends this registration statement on such date or dates as may be necessary to delay its effective date until the registrant shall file a further amendment which specifically states that this registration statement shall thereafter become effective in accordance with Section 8(a) of the Securities Act of 1933 or until the registration statement shall become effective on such date as the Securities and Exchange Commission, acting pursuant to said Section 8(a), may determine.



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The information in this preliminary prospectus is not complete and may be changed. These securities may not be sold until the registration statement filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission is effective. This preliminary prospectus is not an offer to sell nor does it seek an offer to buy these securities in any jurisdiction where the offer or sale is not permitted.

Subject to Completion. Dated          , 2006.

Shares

Security Capital Assurance Ltd

Common Shares


          This is an initial public offering of common shares of Security Capital Assurance Ltd.

          We are offering      of our common shares and our parent, XL Insurance (Bermuda) Ltd, as selling shareholder, is offering     of our common shares. We will not receive any of the proceeds from the sale of common shares by the selling shareholder.

          Prior to this offering, there has been no public market for our common shares. We currently estimate that the initial public offering price per common share will be between $     and $    . We have applied to list the common shares on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol “SCA.”

          See “Risk Factors” beginning on page 9 to read about factors that you should consider before buying our common shares.

          Neither the Securities and Exchange Commission nor any other regulatory body has approved or disapproved of these securities or passed upon the accuracy or adequacy of this prospectus. Any representation to the contrary is a criminal offense.


 

 

 

 

 

Per Share

 

Total

 


 


Initial public offering price

$

 

$

Underwriting discount

$

 

$

Proceeds, before expenses, to us

$

 

$

Proceeds, before expenses, to the selling shareholder

$

 

$

          To the extent that the underwriters sell more than      common shares, the underwriters have the option to purchase up to an additional     common shares from the selling shareholder at the initial public offering price less the underwriting discount.


          The underwriters expect to deliver the common shares against payment in New York, New York on     , 2006.

 

 

 

Goldman, Sachs & Co.

JPMorgan

Merrill Lynch & Co.

 

 

 

Citigroup

Deutsche Bank Securities

UBS Investment Bank




Prospectus dated          , 2006.


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          Common shares may be offered or sold in Bermuda only in compliance with the provisions of the Investment Business Act 2003 of Bermuda, which regulates the sale of securities in Bermuda. In addition, the Bermuda Monetary Authority, which we refer to as the “BMA,” must approve all issuances and transfers of securities of a Bermuda exempted company. We have received from the BMA permission for the issue of our common shares, and for the free transferability of our common shares as long as the common shares are listed on the New York Stock Exchange or other appointed stock exchange, to and among persons who are non-residents of Bermuda for exchange control purposes and up to 20% of the common shares to and among persons who are residents of Bermuda for exchange control purposes. Any other transfers remain subject to approval by the BMA. The BMA accepts no responsibility for the financial soundness of any proposal or for the correctness of any of the statements made or opinions expressed in this prospectus.

          You should rely only on the information contained in this prospectus. Neither we nor the underwriters have authorized any other person to provide you with different information. This prospectus is an offer to sell only the shares offered hereby, but only under circumstances and in jurisdictions where it is lawful to do so. The information contained in this prospectus is current only as of its date.

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 PROSPECTUS SUMMARY

          This summary highlights selected information described more fully elsewhere in this prospectus and may not contain all of the information that is important to you. You should read the entire prospectus, including “Risk Factors,” “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements” and our combined financial statements and related notes before making an investment decision with respect to our common shares. References in this prospectus to the terms “we,” “us,” our company or other similar terms mean Security Capital Assurance Ltd, which we refer to as “SCA,” and its consolidated subsidiaries, except that financial information and data for periods prior to consummation of this offering, unless otherwise indicated, refers to the combined results of XL Capital Assurance Inc. and XL Financial Assurance Ltd. References in this prospectus to “$” are to United States dollars. The combined financial statements and related notes included in this prospectus have been prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States, which we refer to as “GAAP.” Unless otherwise stated, all figures assume that the underwriters do not exercise their option to purchase additional common shares from the selling shareholder. For your convenience, we have provided a glossary, beginning on page G-1, of selected insurance and other related terms. Unless otherwise indicated, references to “par” and “net par” include the full notional amount of applicable credit default swaps.

Our Company

Overview


          We are a Bermuda-domiciled holding company whose operating subsidiaries provide credit enhancement and protection products to the public finance and structured finance markets throughout the United States and internationally. We provide credit enhancement and protection through the issuance of financial guaranty insurance policies and credit default swaps, as well as the reinsurance of financial guaranty insurance and credit default products written by other insurers. Our subsidiaries began providing financial guaranty reinsurance in 1999 and direct financial guaranty insurance in 2000. Our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries are rated “Aaa” by Moody’s Investors Service, Inc., which we refer to as “Moody’s,” “AAA” by Standard & Poor’s, a division of the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., which we refer to as “S&P,” and “AAA” by Fitch, Inc., which we refer to as “Fitch.” Each of these ratings is the highest applicable rating available from that agency. Ratings are a measure of our subsidiaries’ ability to meet obligations to their policyholders and not an evaluation of SCA or an investment in SCA’s securities, including the shares of common stock offered hereby.

          For the year ended December 31, 2005, we had total premiums written of $285.4 million and net premiums written of $244.9 million. Over the five year period through December 31, 2005, our in-force book of business (meaning policies under which we, at the relevant date, have risk of loss) has increased to $81.9 billion (net of ceded reinsurance), our deferred premium revenue (premium that has been accounted for as written but has not yet been earned) has grown to over $592 million and the estimated fair value of future premiums on all in-force installment business (all future premiums to be paid on an installment basis, which cannot be accounted for as written until the installment is due in the future) has increased to $374.6 million. Our profitability has also grown over this period, with net income available to common shareholders rising from $9.3 million for fiscal 2001 to over $80.4 million in fiscal 2005 and $83.5 million on a pro forma basis for 2005. For the three months ended March 31, 2006, we had total premiums written, net premiums written, net income available to common shareholders and pro forma net income available to common shareholders of $82.2 million, $74.6 million, $16.7 million and $17.5 million, respectively.

          We write insurance through XL Capital Assurance Inc., our New York-domiciled monoline insurance subsidiary, which we refer to as “XLCA,” and we write reinsurance through our Bermuda-chartered subsidiary XL Financial Assurance Ltd., which we refer to as “XLFA.”

Competitive Strengths

1


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          We believe that our competitive strengths will enable us to capitalize on opportunities in the credit enhancement and protection markets. These strengths include:

          Our Established Triple-A Franchise. We are one of six financial guarantors with triple-A ratings from Moody’s, S&P and Fitch and the only financial guaranty reinsurer with triple-A ratings from Moody’s, S&P and Fitch. In the principal market for financial guaranty insurance, typically there is either a requirement or strong commercial preference for triple-A-rated insurance policies. In the reinsurance market, a triple-A-rated reinsurer provides greater rating agency capital relief to the ceding insurer than a lower-rated reinsurer. Triple-A ratings and market acceptance are difficult and time-consuming to achieve in the financial guaranty industry. We believe that, in addition to our ratings, the market acceptance of our financial guaranties and our established track record in the financial guaranty industry allow us to compete effectively in our existing lines of business and will provide us with key advantages as we enter new markets and expand our presence in existing ones.

          Our Focus on Risk-Adjusted Returns. We have a disciplined approach to underwriting that emphasizes risk-adjusted profitability over market share. Our approach is driven by client service without compromising our credit underwriting process. Our business is organized around integrated teams comprising transactors, credit and quantitative analysts, risk management professionals and attorneys.


          Our Diversified, High Quality Portfolio. We have a diversified, high-quality portfolio, comprising $37.9 billion, $13.9 billion, $22.4 billion and $16.2 billion of combined net par outstanding (principal amount of guaranteed obligations net of amounts ceded to reinsurers) in the public finance, asset-backed, structured single risk and structured investment products markets, respectively, as of March 31, 2006. Our reinsurance business gives us access to credit exposures that we may not otherwise have the opportunity to obtain through our primary insurance business. As of March 31, 2006, the weighted average credit rating of the obligations that we guaranty was “A+.”

          Our Acceptance by Fixed-Income Investors. Our customers include a broad base of fixed-income institutional investors. We provide an opportunity for investors to diversify their credit risk exposure to the other, larger financial guarantors.

          Our Experienced Management, Underwriting Team and Board. Our senior management has an average of more than 18 years experience in the insurance, reinsurance and credit and financial guaranty markets. We also have a team of 9 senior underwriters with an average of approximately 21 years of financial guaranty or similar credit experience. Our Board of Directors also has substantial financial services industry experience.

          Our Global Presence. We provide credit enhancement products to our customers in North America, Europe, Asia, Latin America and other parts of the world through our operations in the United States, the United Kingdom, Bermuda, Spain and Singapore. Through our U.K.-licensed subsidiary, we are able to write business in the U.K. and also in most European countries using a designated authorization known as “passporting.” Our range of licenses allows us to participate broadly in the global credit enhancement market.

Corporate Strategy

          Our goals are to provide new credit capacity to investors in triple-A guarantied securities, profitably increase our share of the financial guaranty market across all major product lines and become an industry leader in return on equity. We plan to achieve these goals through the following strategies:

          Maintain Triple-A Financial Strength. Maintaining our triple-A financial strength ratings is paramount to our overall strategy. We plan to achieve this through disciplined risk selection, prudent operating and financial leverage and conservative investment guidelines.

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          Focus on Profitable Growth. We see a growing need for our credit enhancement and protection products due to increasing long-term demand, as well as the desire of financial intermediaries, such as banks and other market participants, to diversify their credit risk exposure to triple-A-rated financial guarantors. We plan to focus on profitability by increasing penetration in our target product and geographic markets, selecting business based on specific risk-adjusted financial and operating targets such as return on equity and the effect of such business on net income.

          Leverage Existing Platform. We have made significant investments in staff and infrastructure to support future growth. As a result, we believe that we have significant capacity to increase the number and size of the transactions that we underwrite using our existing platform and personnel, thereby reducing our expense ratio and increasing our profit margins over time.

          Dual Insurance and Reinsurance Strategy. While primary insurance will comprise the vast majority of our business, we also intend to continue to provide triple-A-rated reinsurance on a selective basis. Triple-A-rated reinsurance capacity is scarce in the industry. As a result, we believe that we can complement our insurance business by focusing on sectors of the market with favorable opportunities for us to write reinsurance, particularly where it might be inefficient for us to access such opportunities through our primary insurance business.

          Attract and Retain Top Talent. Our ability to continue to attract and retain top talent is critical to executing our strategy successfully. As we expand our business, we will continue to identify individuals who adhere to the highest professional standards and who share our dedication to superior performance and building long-term shareholder value.

Challenges

          The principal challenges that we must face in implementing our strategy are as follows:

 

 

 

 

maintaining our triple-A ratings;

 

 

 

 

successfully competing with other financial guaranty insurance companies (most of which have significantly greater financial resources than we do and have longer operating histories than we have);

 

 

 

 

successfully competing with other forms of credit enhancement such as credit derivatives and uninsured forms of execution;

 

 

 

 

maintaining sufficient capital resources to allow for future growth; and

 

 

 

 

recruiting and retaining experienced and qualified management and staff.

 

 

Corporate Structure and Principal Shareholder

          SCA was incorporated in Bermuda in March 2006 for the sole purpose of becoming the holding company for the financial guaranty businesses of XL Capital Ltd, which we refer to, together with its subsidiaries, as “XL Capital.” XL Capital is a Cayman Islands company that, through its operating subsidiaries, is a leading provider of insurance and reinsurance coverages and financial products and services to industrial, commercial and professional service firms, insurance companies and other enterprises on a worldwide basis. As of March 31, 2006, XL Capital had consolidated total assets of approximately $58.7 billion and consolidated shareholders’ equity of approximately $8.5 billion. See “Principal and Selling Shareholder.”

          After the consummation of the transactions described under “Formation Transactions” and the completion of this offering, XL Capital, through its wholly-owned subsidiary XL Insurance (Bermuda) Ltd, which we refer to as “XLI” or the “selling shareholder,” will beneficially own approximately 65% of our

3


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outstanding common shares (or approximately     % if the underwriters’ option to purchase additional common shares from the selling shareholder is exercised in full). As a result of limitations on XL Capital’s voting power contained in our Bye-laws, the votes conferred by the common shares owned by XL Capital will not exceed, with respect to elections of directors, 50.1% of the aggregate voting power of all common shares entitled to vote generally at any election of directors or, with respect to any other matter presented to our shareholders for their action or consideration, 47.5% of the aggregate voting power of all common shares entitled to vote on such matter.

          The following organization chart illustrates our corporate equity ownership structure upon completion of this offering, assuming that the underwriters do not exercise their option to purchase additional common shares from the selling shareholder. All ownership interests are 100% except where noted.

Picture -- img001

XL Insurance (Bermuda) Ltd

Public Shareholders

Security Capital Assurance Ltd

XL Financial Assurance Ltd.

SCA Holdings US Inc.

XL Capital Assurance Inc.
(including Singapore Branch Office)

XL Capital Assurance (U.K.) Limited
(including Madrid Branch Office)

Entities Affiliated With
Financial Security Assurance Inc.

Series A
Preferred

Shares(2)

Common
Shares

65%(1)

35%

Various Service and Other
Companies

SCA Bermuda
Administrative Ltd

 

 



(1)

Represents equity ownership interest, not voting power. See “Description of Share Capital—Voting Rights and Adjustments.”

 

 

(2)

For a description of the terms of the Series A preferred shares of XLFA, see “Description of Share Capital—XLFA Series A Preferred Shares.”

          For a description of historical and ongoing relationships between us, on the one hand, and XL Capital, Financial Security Assurance Inc., which we refer to as “FSA,” and their respective affiliates, on the other hand, see “Certain Relationships and Related Party Transactions.”

Principal Executive Offices

          Our principal executive offices are located at One Bermudiana Road, Hamilton HM 11, Bermuda. Our telephone number is (441) 292-8515.

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The Offering

 

 

 

Issuer

 

Security Capital Assurance Ltd.

 

 

 

Common shares offered by us

 

          common shares.

 

 

 

Common shares offered by the selling

 

 

shareholder

 

          common shares. (1)

 

 

 

Common shares to be outstanding immediately after this offering

 

          common shares.

 

 

 

 

 

Use of proceeds

 

We estimate that the net proceeds to us from this offering will be approximately $     million. We intend to contribute approximately $     million of such net proceeds to the capital of our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries to support future growth in their respective businesses and to retain the remainder of such net proceeds to use for general corporate purposes.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

We will not receive any proceeds from the sale of common shares by the selling shareholder.

 

 

 

 

 

Dividend policy

 

We expect that it will be our policy to limit the cash dividends paid on our common shares to nominal dividends that would satisfy certain investors who may otherwise be prohibited from investing in non-dividend paying stocks. See “Dividend Policy.”

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NYSE symbol

 

SCA.

 

 


 

 


(1)

This number does not include any common shares that may be sold by the selling shareholder, XLI, to the underwriters upon the exercise by the underwriters of their option to purchase additional common shares from the selling shareholder. If the option to purchase additional common shares is exercised in full, the selling shareholder will sell an additional common shares.

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Summary Combined Financial Information


          The summary combined statement of operations data for each of the years ended December 31, 2003, 2004 and 2005 and the summary combined balance sheet data as of December 31, 2004 and 2005 are derived from our audited combined financial statements. The summary combined statement of operations data for each of the three months ended March 31, 2005 and 2006 and the summary combined balance sheet data as of March 31, 2006 are derived from our interim condensed combined financial statements.

          You should read the following summary combined financial information together with the other information contained in this prospectus, including “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” and the combined financial statements and related notes included elsewhere in this prospectus.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year Ended
December 31,

 

Three Months Ended
March 31,

 

 

 


 


 

(in thousands, except percentages)

 

2003

 

2004

 

2005

 

2005

 

2006

 

 

 


 


 


 


 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Statement of Operations Data:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total premiums written

 

$

319,452

 

$

276,562

 

$

285,439

 

$

51,737

 

$

82,183

 

Net premiums written

 

 

252,038

 

 

268,439

 

 

244,912

 

 

40,044

 

 

74,591

 

Net premiums earned

 

 

103,072

 

 

116,281

 

 

151,839

 

 

32,640

 

 

37,813

 

Net investment income

 

 

22,754

 

 

35,746

 

 

51,160

 

 

11,308

 

 

15,062

 

Net realized gains (losses) on investments

 

 

3,621

 

 

(178

)

 

(3,221

)

 

(1,413

)

 

(5,683

)

Net losses and loss adjustment expenses

 

 

20,038

 

 

21,274

 

 

26,021

 

 

2,206

 

 

3,449

 

Acquisition costs, net

 

 

6,776

 

 

8,259

 

 

12,231

 

 

2,065

 

 

2,682

 

Operating expenses

 

 

51,719

 

 

58,395

 

 

67,621

 

 

15,593

 

 

17,095

 

Income tax expense (benefit)

 

 

(955

)

 

1,920

 

 

(1,277

)

 

14

 

 

(15

)

Net income

 

 

70,796

 

 

74,788

 

 

89,251

 

 

25,522

 

 

21,361

 

Preference share dividends

 

 

9,491

 

 

15,934

 

 

8,805

 

 

3,538

 

 

4,612

 

Net income available to common shareholders

 

 

61,305

 

 

58,854

 

 

80,446

 

 

21,984

 

 

16,749

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pro Forma Information (1):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pro forma net income available to common shareholders

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

83,514

 

 

 

 

$

17,516

 

Pro forma net income per common share

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Selected ratios (based on GAAP statement of operations data) (2):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss ratio (3)

 

 

19.4

%

 

18.3

%

 

17.1

%

 

6.8

%

 

9.1

%

Expense ratio (4)

 

 

56.8

%

 

57.3

%

 

52.6

%

 

54.1

%

 

52.3

%

Combined ratio (5)

 

 

76.2

%

 

75.6

%

 

69.7

%

 

60.9

%

 

61.4

%


 

 


(1)

See “Pro Forma Financial Information.”

 

 

 

(2)

These ratios are used by management in order to compare our performance to benchmarks commonly used by rating agencies and analysts that monitor the insurance industry.

 

 

(3)

Represents net losses and loss adjustment expenses divided by net premiums earned.

 

 

(4)

Represents operating expenses and acquisition costs, net divided by net premiums earned.

 

 

(5)

Represents net losses and loss adjustment expenses, operating expenses and acquisition costs, net divided by net premiums earned.

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As of December 31,

 

As of March 31, 2006

 

 

 


 


 

(in thousands)

 

2003

 

2004

 

2005

 

Actual

 

Pro Forma(1)

 

 

 


 


 


 


 


 

Summary Balance Sheet Data:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash and cash equivalents

 

$

103,200

 

$

71,247

 

$

54,593

 

$

45,581

 

 

 

 

Total investments (at fair market value)

 

 

852,503

 

 

1,157,205

 

 

1,364,461

 

 

1,390,335

 

 

 

 

Reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid losses

 

 

11,400

 

 

60,914

 

 

69,217

 

 

69,987

 

 

 

 

Total assets

 

 

1,137,631

 

 

1,472,193

 

 

1,684,315

 

 

1,720,415

 

 

 

 

Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses

 

 

47,195

 

 

115,734

 

 

147,368

 

 

150,927

 

 

 

 

Deferred premium revenue

 

 

385,956

 

 

487,093

 

 

592,585

 

 

628,753

 

 

 

 

Total liabilities

 

 

469,213

 

 

618,774

 

 

765,983

 

 

799,644

 

 

 

 

Total redeemable preferred shares

 

 

46,857

 

 

48,689

 

 

50,518

 

 

54,016

 

 

 

 

Total shareholders’ equity

 

 

621,563

 

 

804,730

 

 

867,814

 

 

866,755

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pro forma book value per common share (2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   

 

 

 

As of and for the Year Ended December 31,

 

As of and for the Three Months Ended March 31,

 

 


 




(in millions)

 

2003

 

2004

 

2005

 

2005

 

2006

 

 


 


 


 


 


                (Actual)     (Pro Forma)(1)

Summary Portfolio Information:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   

Gross par value written and assumed

 

$

25,366

 

$

32,277

 

$

34,010

 

$

10,713

 

   

Adjusted gross premiums (3)

 

 

360

 

 

295

 

 

396

 

 

110

 

   

Net in-force business (principal and interest)

 

 

62,577

 

 

97,301

 

 

121,898

 

 

134,883

 

   


 

 

(1)

Adjusted for the transactions described under “Pro Forma Financial Information”.

 

 

(2)

Based on the pro forma number of common shares to be outstanding upon consummation of this offering.

 

 

(3)

Adjusted Gross Premiums is a non-GAAP measure of new business production. GAAP Total Premiums written does not adequately measure this. Adjusted Gross Premiums for any period equals the sum of: (i) upfront premiums written in such period, (ii) current installment premiums due on business written in such period and (iii) expected future installment premiums discounted at 7% on business written during such period. This measure adjusts for the fact, as described above, that upfront premiums are recorded in full as total premiums written when written but future installment premiums are not. Future installment premiums can be negatively affected by prepayments and refundings, early terminations, credit losses or other factors impacting the company’s in-force book of business. Our estimate of such circumstances is reflected in its estimate of future installment premiums written and assumed.

 

 

 

Management uses this measure to review trends in new business written because it views this method as providing comparability between business written on an upfront premium basis and business written on an installment basis. Adjusted Gross Premium is also used by investors, analysts, rating agencies and others in evaluating our performance. See “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations—Overview—Key Factors Affecting Profitability.”


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The following is a reconciliation of Adjusted Gross Premiums to total premiums written, which is the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

     

 

 

 

 

 

Year Ended December 31,

 

Three Months Ended March 31,

 

 

 


 




 

(in millions)

 

2003

 

2004

 

2005

 

2005  

2006

 

 

 


 


 


 


 

 

                (Actual)   (Pro Forma)  

Adjusted gross premiums

 

$

360

 

$

295

 

$

396

 

$ 110  

 

 

 

Present value of estimated future installment premiums written and assumed on contracts issued in the current period, discounted at 7%

 

 

(145

)

 

(128

)

 

(233

)

  (58 )

 

 

 

 

 



 



 



 



 

 

Total up-front premiums written

 

 

215

 

 

167

 

 

163

 

  52  

 

 

 

Total installment premiums written

 

 

104

 

 

110

 

 

122

 

  30  

 

 

 

 

 



 



 



 



 

 

Total premiums written

 

$

319

 

$

277

 

$

285

 

$ 82  

 

 

 

 

 



 



 



 



 

 


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 RISK FACTORS

          An investment in our common shares involves a number of risks. You should carefully consider the following information about these risks, together with the other information contained in this prospectus, before investing in our common shares. Any of the risks described below could have a significant or material adverse effect on our results of operations or financial condition and result in a corresponding decline in the market price of our common shares. You could lose all or a substantial part of your investment.

          This prospectus also contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Our actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in the forward-looking statements as a result of certain factors, including the risks described below and elsewhere in this prospectus. See “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements.”

Risks Related to Our Company

A downgrade of our financial strength or financial enhancement ratings from triple-A would materially adversely affect our business and, consequently, our results of operations and financial condition.

          The maintenance of our triple-A ratings is essential for us to continue to operate in the triple-A financial guaranty insurance and reinsurance markets. As of the date of this prospectus, our financial guaranty insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries have been assigned an “AAA” (Extremely Strong) financial strength rating from S&P, an “Aaa” (Exceptional) financial strength rating from Moody’s and an “AAA” (Exceptionally Strong) financial strength rating from Fitch, the highest rating categories used by each of these rating agencies. A financial strength rating is an opinion regarding the financial security characteristics of an insurance or reinsurance organization with respect to its ability to pay under its insurance and reinsurance policies and contracts in accordance with their terms. The opinion is not specific to any particular policy or contract. Financial strength ratings do not refer to the ability of an insurer or reinsurer to meet non-insurance or non-reinsurance obligations and are not a recommendation to purchase or discontinue any policy or contract issued by an insurer or reinsurer or to buy, hold or sell any security issued by an insurer or reinsurer or any parent company of any insurer or reinsurer.

          S&P also assigns financial enhancement ratings, which provide investors with a specific opinion regarding the willingness of an insurance or reinsurance company to pay financial guaranty claims on a timely basis. Our financial guaranty insurance and reinsurance companies carry a financial enhancement rating from S&P of “AAA” (Extremely Strong), the highest rating category used by S&P.

          The ratings assigned to us by S&P, Moody’s and Fitch are subject to periodic review and may be downgraded by one or more of these rating agencies as a result of changes in their views regarding the financial guaranty insurance and reinsurance industry, adverse developments in our financial condition or results of operations due to underwriting or investment losses or other factors, including changes in applicable rating agency criteria. In addition, one or more of the rating agencies may change the methodologies they use to rate financial guaranty insurers or reinsurers or our subsidiaries and no assurances can be given as to the effect on us (or other members of our industry) of any such change.

          See also “—Risks Related to Our Historical Ownership by XL Capital As Well As Our Post-Offering Relationships with XL Capital—Our financial strength or financial enhancement ratings may be negatively impacted by XL Capital’s ratings.”

          Any decrease in the ratings of any of our insurance or reinsurance subsidiaries below current levels by any of the rating agencies would have a material adverse effect on our ability to compete with other large monoline financial guaranty companies, which are our principal competitors, all of which currently have triple-A ratings from S&P, Moody’s and Fitch. Also, certain of the reinsurance agreements pursuant to which we reinsure financial guaranty insurance written by other insurers contain provisions

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that allow the ceding primary insurer to terminate the agreement on a run-off basis or, in some cases, a cut-off basis in the event of a downgrade in our credit ratings or other event that would result in the reinsurance credit provided by us to the ceding primary insurer being diminished. In order to maintain our credit ratings we may be required to raise additional capital, reduce the amount or change the type of insurance that we write, increase the amount of insurance that we cede to reinsurers, or take a combination of these or other actions not currently contemplated by us.

Increased rating agency capital charges may adversely us.

          Individual obligations that we guaranty are assessed a rating agency “capital charge” based on a variety of factors including the nature of the credits, their underlying ratings and their expected and actual performance. In the event of an actual or perceived deterioration in creditworthiness, a reduction in the underlying rating or a change in the rating agency capital methodology, we may be required to hold more capital in reserve against obligations in our insured portfolio, regardless of whether losses actually occur, or against potential new business. There can be no assurance that our capital position will be adequate to meet such increased reserve requirements or that we will be able to secure additional capital if so needed to maintain ratings.

A downgrade of the financial strength or financial enhancement ratings of any of our reinsurers, or a change in the treatment by the rating agencies of the reinsurance provided to us by XLI, would impact the value of the reinsurance that any such reinsurer provides to us and, therefore, could adversely affect us.

          A downgrade of the ratings of any of our reinsurers would reduce the value of the outwards, or ceded, reinsurance that such reinsurer provides to us by affecting the amount of reinsurance credit that we receive for risks that we have ceded to such reinsurer in the rating agency models that help to determine our ratings. We usually must obtain triple-A-rated reinsurance to qualify for a 100% reinsurance credit on the rating agencies’ capital adequacy models. Consequently, a downgrade in the ratings of any of our reinsurers could affect the amount of capital the rating agencies require us to maintain in order to keep our triple-A ratings. Based upon publicly available information, we are aware that two of our third-party reinsurers, representing 0.4% and 0.5%, as of December 31, 2005 and March 31, 2006, respectively, of our gross par exposure are under consideration for a ratings downgrade. In addition, we continue to depend upon our principal shareholder, XLI, for in excess of one-third of our external coverage at December 31, 2005 and March 31, 2006. XLI does not currently have a bond insurance financial enhancement rating from S&P, which normally determines the amount of credit that S&P gives to reinsurance cessions. However, because of the relationship between us and XLI, S&P uses XLI’s financial strength rating to determine the amount of credit we receive for reinsurance provided to us by XLI. If the financial strength rating of XLI changes, or the relationship between us and XLI changes, there is a risk that S&P will change its determination as to the amount of such credit, or revoke its decision to use XLI’s financial strength rating, which would result in us receiving a reduced amount or no credit for XLI’s reinsurance.

          In the event of any such downgrade, or a change in the treatment by the rating agencies of the reinsurance provided to us by XLI, we cannot assure you that we will be able to find other reinsurers that can provide us with the reinsurance capacity currently provided to us by our existing reinsurers. Even if reinsurance is generally available, we may not be able to negotiate terms comparable to the terms of our current policies, or that we deem appropriate or acceptable, or to obtain coverage from entities with satisfactory financial resources. Such a result, or a reduction in the amount of business that we are able to retrocede to XLI, could put us at a competitive disadvantage with respect to larger monoline financial guaranty companies, principally by affecting our ability to underwrite larger single name risks, including risks for certain public finance obligors, or increasing the amount of capital that the rating agencies require us to maintain in order to write such larger risks or to keep our triple-A ratings. XL Capital may also decide at any time to reduce or eliminate the amount of retrocessional coverage it provides to us.

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The size of our capital base may adversely affect our ability to grow our business and execute our business strategy.

          We currently have a significantly smaller capital base (meaning our shareholders’ equity) than most of our direct competitors (even after giving effect to completion of this offering), which may effectively reduce our ability to compete with them. Larger competitors have several advantages over us because of their size, including being able to offer larger single risk limits, having greater economies of scale and having more diverse product lines, as well as having greater market acceptance. At March 31, 2006, our capital base was approximately $866.8 million. We believe that our principal competitors’ capital bases range up to seven times as large as our capital base.

We may require additional capital or liquidity in the future, which may not be available or may be available only on unfavorable terms.

          Our ongoing capital requirements depend on many factors, including our in-force book of business and regulatory and rating agency capital requirements. To the extent that our existing capital, including the capital available to us as a result of this offering, is insufficient to meet these requirements or cover losses, we may need to raise additional funds through financings or curtail our growth and reduce our insured exposure. Any equity or debt financing, if available at all, may be on terms that are not favorable to us. If we cannot obtain adequate capital on favorable terms or at all, our business, operating results and financial condition could be adversely affected.

          In addition, as an offshore reinsurer, XLFA is required to post collateral security with respect to any reinsurance liabilities that it assumes from ceding insurers domiciled in the United States in order for U.S. ceding companies to obtain full statutory and regulatory credit for our reinsurance. Under applicable statutory provisions, these security arrangements may be in the form of letters of credit, reinsurance trusts maintained by trustees or funds-withheld arrangements where assets are held by the ceding company. XLFA has typically satisfied such statutory requirements by providing to primary insurers letters of credit issued under XL Capital’s credit facilities, which we expect to replace with letters of credit to be issued under a facility that will be put in place at or shortly after the consummation of this offering. To the extent that we are required to post additional security in the future, we may require additional letter of credit capacity and we cannot assure you that we will be able to obtain such additional capacity or arrange for other types of security on commercially acceptable terms. Our inability to provide collateral satisfying the statutory and regulatory guidelines applicable to financial guaranty primary insurers would have a material effect on our ability to provide reinsurance to third parties and negatively affect our financial position and results of operations.

Some of our direct financial guaranty products may be riskier than traditional financial guaranty insurance, principally because these less traditional products may require us to make payments of the full guarantied amount earlier than, or upon the occurrence of events not covered by, traditional products.

Some of our financial guaranty direct exposures have been written as credit derivatives rather than financial guaranty insurance policies. Traditional financial guaranty insurance provides an unconditional and irrevocable guaranty that protects the holder of a municipal finance or structured finance obligation against non-payment of principal and interest. In contrast, credit derivatives provide protection from the occurrence of specified credit events, which usually include non-payment of principal and interest, but may also include other events, such as certain types of restructurings, that would not typically trigger a payment obligation under traditional products. Credit derivative products may also provide for settlement of an entire exposure, rather than a missed payment obligation as in traditional financial guaranty insurance, upon the occurrence of a credit event, which could require us to sell assets or otherwise generate liquidity in advance of any potential recoveries. Our net earned premium on credit default swaps was $18.4 million, $22.3 million and $16.5 million for the years ended December 31, 2003, 2004, and 2005, respectively, which represented 17.9%, 19.1% and 10.9% of total net earned premium for these years and $5.4 million (or 16.6%) for the three months ended March 31, 2006. These amounts of net earned premium represented 12.4%, 13.5% and 8.5% of total revenue for the period ended

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December 31, 2003, 2004, and 2005, respectively and 12.1% for the three months ended March 31, 2006. Our notional exposure, net of reinsurance, from the issuance of credit default swap policies was $6.3 billion and $12.2 billion at December 31, 2004 and 2005, respectively and $16.0 million at March 31, 2006, which represented 9.4%, 14.9% and 17.7% at these dates.


Our insurance and reinsurance portfolio and financial guaranty products expose us to concentrations of risks, and a material adverse event or series of events with respect to one or more of these risks could result in significant losses to our business.

          The breadth of our business exposes us to potential losses in a variety of our products, which may be correlated as to credit risk. For example, we could be exposed to a corporate credit risk with respect to a company’s securities that are contained in a portfolio of collateralized debt obligations, which we refer to as “CDOs,” that we insure and could also be exposed to the same corporate credit risk if such company is also the originator or servicer of loans or other assets backing structured securities that we insure. While we track our aggregate exposure to credit problems at a single issuer or servicer, which we refer to as “single name” exposure, of asset-backed securities, which we refer to as “ABS,” and have established underwriting criteria to manage risk aggregations, there can be no assurance that an event with respect to a single name will not cause a significant loss across a number of transactions that we have guarantied. In addition, we have a number of individual large exposures to single obligors in our public finance portfolio, concentrations in infrastructure sectors, such as water and sewer utilities and transportation, and concentrations in certain geographic areas. While the risk of a complete loss, where we are required to pay the entire principal amount of an issue of bonds and interest thereon with no recovery, is generally lower than for single corporate credits as most municipal bonds are backed by tax or other revenues, there can be no assurance that a single default by a municipality or public authority would not have a material adverse effect on our results of operations or financial condition.

Rules relating to certain accounting practices in the financial guaranty insurance and reinsurance industry are currently being reviewed by applicable regulatory bodies and any changes required by that review could have a material effect on the reported operating results and financial condition of the industry or particular market participants, including us, depending on the extent to which current policies differ from those promulgated by such regulatory bodies.

          In early 2005, the Securities and Exchange Commission, which we refer to as the “SEC,” discussed with financial guaranty industry participants the diversity in practice with respect to their accounting policies for loss reserves. In June 2005, the Financial Accounting Standards Board, which we refer to as the “FASB,” added a project to its agenda to consider the accounting by financial guaranty insurers for claims liability recognition (including policies for loss reserves), premium recognition and the related amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs. The proposed and final accounting pronouncements relating to these initiatives may be issued in 2006. When the FASB or the SEC reaches a conclusion on these issues, we and the rest of the financial guaranty industry may be required to change aspects of certain accounting policies, which could have a material effect on our reported or ongoing results and those of other participants in the financial guaranty industry to the extent that our current policies, or policies of other participants in the financial guaranty industry differ significantly from the policies ultimately promulgated by the FASB or the SEC.

Our ability to implement, for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2007, the requirements of Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 in a timely and satisfactory manner could cause the price of our common shares to fall.

          We are presently evaluating our existing internal controls with respect to the standards adopted by the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board. While we are not presently aware of any circumstances that would prohibit us from successfully completing the procedures, certification and attestation requirements of Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 by the time that we are required to file our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007 (which is the first time that our management and our outside auditors will be required to deliver reports on our internal

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controls and procedures in accordance with the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002), no assurances can be given that we will be able to successfully complete those procedures by that time. Uncertainty as to our ability to comply with such requirements or any material weaknesses uncovered as a result of such procedures could have a material adverse effect on the trading price of our common shares. In addition, we may incur increased costs associated with such procedures or a diversion of internal resources necessary to prepare for or comply with such requirements.

We face significant competition in our business and our revenues and profitability could decline as a result.

          The financial guaranty industry is highly competitive. The principal sources of direct and indirect competition are other financial guaranty insurance companies, most of which have significantly greater financial resources than we do and have been in the industry for longer than we have. Four companies, Ambac Financial Group, Inc., which we refer to as “Ambac,” FGIC Corporation, which we refer to as “FGIC,” Financial Security Assurance Inc., which we refer to as “FSA,” and MBIA Inc., which we refer to as “MBIA,” accounted for the vast majority of the gross premiums written for the entire financial guaranty industry in 2005. In addition, growing interest from banks in assuming structured finance risk has also increased competition. We also face competition from other forms of credit enhancement, including structural enhancements such as “senior/subordinated” tranching structures incorporated in structured and other obligations, and from letters of credit, guaranties and credit derivatives provided by foreign and domestic banks and other financial institutions, some of which are governmental enterprises, by hedge funds, structured derivatives product companies and others.

          Demand for financial guaranty insurance changes and is dependant upon a number of factors, including changes in interest rates, credit spreads, regulatory requirements, its cost relative to uninsured financing alternatives, risk appetite in debt capital markets generally and supply of new bond issues. Our ability to compete with other financial guarantors is affected by the fact that our guarantied bonds in certain product lines generally have not traded at parity, and in the future may not trade at parity, with those of our principal competitors in these lines of business. In particular, our guarantied bonds in certain markets, in particular the fixed rate municipal market, trade at a small discount to those of our principal competitors. We believe that this trading differential has been caused by our relative youth and small size compared to that of our competitors, as well as a perception among some investors of a ratings linkage between us and XL Capital, and that this differential has narrowed since our formation. Failure on our part to achieve trading parity with more established financial guarantors with respect to our guarantied bonds in any particular market could make our guaranties in such market somewhat less attractive and place us at a competitive disadvantage.

          There are also a relatively limited number of financial guaranty reinsurance companies. As a result, the industry is particularly vulnerable to swings in capacity based on the entry or exit of one or a small number of financial guaranty reinsurers. Developments over the past several years that have either increased reinsurance capacity or reduced the demand for reinsurance include: the formation of a new captive Bermuda-based triple-A-rated financial guaranty reinsurer, Channel Reinsurance Ltd.; the formation of a new Bermuda-based double-A-rated financial guaranty reinsurer, Blue Point Re Limited; the use by certain primary insurers of their excess capacity to provide reinsurance to other primary insurers; and rising interest rates and a general trend toward narrowing credit spreads, which have resulted in lower business production for primary insurers and have reduced the need for reinsurance. New entrants into the financial guaranty industry could have an adverse effect on our prospects either by further increasing competition with respect to terms or pricing or by reducing the aggregate demand for our reinsurance as a result of additional insurance capacity.

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A substantial majority of our third-party reinsurance business consists of reinsuring risks from FSA and our ability to expand our third-party reinsurance business is constrained by rating agency restrictions.

          For the years ended December 31, 2003, 2004 and 2005 and for the three months ended March 31, 2006, FSA accounted for 78.8%, 73.0%, 65.7% and 76.6%, respectively, of our gross reinsurance premiums written. While we provide reinsurance to insurers other than FSA, our ability to increase the amount of reinsurance that we are able to provide to third parties other than FSA is restricted by rating agency constraints, which have traditionally limited such amount to approximately 5% of XLFA’s total net par outstanding. Because FSA holds a preferred share investment in XLFA, the rating agencies have, to date, generally exempted FSA from these limitations on the amount of third-party reinsurance business that we may write. These constraints significantly limit the amount of reinsurance business that we may obtain from sources other than FSA in the future. These constraints would also limit the amount of business that we obtain from FSA in the future if any of the rating agencies begin to consider FSA business to be “third-party” business. In addition, should FSA reduce or eliminate its preferred share investment in XLFA, the rating agencies may no longer exempt business ceded to XLFA by FSA from their constraints on third-party business. Similarly, we believe that XLFA’s historical status as a joint venture between XL Capital and Financial Security Assurance Holdings Ltd., which we refer to as “FSAH,” accords XLFA better standing as a potential reinsurer for FSA than it would otherwise have and FSA retains the right under its reinsurance agreements with us to terminate such agreements upon the occurrence of certain events, including if XLFA comes under the control of any other insurance company or organization. See “Certain Relationships and Related Party Transactions—Relationship with Financial Security Assurance Holdings Ltd.” Because the reinsurance agreements that we have in place with FSA and its affiliates do not require it or them to cede business to us, we can give no assurances as to the amount and/or profitability of business that we may receive from it or them in the future.

          Consequently, if FSA were to reduce or eliminate its ownership interest in XLFA, or if we come under the control of any other insurance company or organization, FSA could choose to significantly reduce the amount of reinsurance business that it conducts with XLFA or to reassume business it had previously ceded to us, which would have a material adverse effect on our business.

General economic factors, including fluctuations in interest rates, as well as terrorist acts or natural or other catastrophes, may adversely affect our loss experience or the demand for our products.

          Our loss experience could be materially adversely affected by extended national or regional economic recessions, business failures, rising unemployment rates, terrorist attacks, natural or other catastrophic events such as hurricanes and earthquakes, acts of war, or combinations of such factors. In addition to exposure to general economic factors, we are exposed to the specific risks faced by the particular businesses, municipalities or pools of assets covered by our financial guaranty products. For example, catastrophic events or terrorist acts could adversely affect the ability of public sector issuers to meet their obligations with respect to securities insured by us and we may incur material losses due to these exposures if the economic stress caused by these events is more severe than we currently foresee.

          Other events, such as interest rate changes or volatility, could materially decrease demand for financial guaranty insurance or the demand for financial guaranty reinsurance. For example, higher interest rates may result in declines in new issues and refunding volume, which may reduce demand for our financial guaranty insurance and reinsurance products. Lower interest rates generally are accompanied by narrower interest rate spreads between insured and uninsured obligations. The purchase of insurance during periods of narrower interest rate spreads generally will provide lower cost savings to the issuer than during periods of wider spreads. These lower cost savings could be accompanied by a corresponding decrease in demand for financial guaranty insurance.

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If claims exceed our loss reserves, our financial position and results of operations could be materially adversely affected.

          Our results of operations and financial condition depend upon our ability to assess accurately and manage the potential loss associated with the risks that we insure and reinsure. We establish loss and loss adjustment expense reserves based on estimates involving actuarial and statistical projections of the ultimate settlement and administration costs of claims on the policies we write. We use actuarial models as well as historical industry loss development patterns as estimates of future trends in claims severity, frequency and other factors to establish our estimate of loss reserves. Estimates of loss and loss adjustment expenses are subject to large potential errors of estimation, due to the fact that the ultimate dispositions of claims incurred prior to a financial statement date, whether reported or not, are subject to the outcome of events that have not yet occurred. If our loss reserves are at any time determined to be inadequate, we will be required to increase our loss reserves at the time of such determination. Such an increase would cause a corresponding increase in our liabilities and a reduction in our profitability, which could have a material adverse effect on our business.

If the counterparties to our reinsurance arrangements default on their obligations to us, we may be exposed to risks we had sought to mitigate, which could adversely affect our financial condition and results of operations.

          We use reinsurance to mitigate our risks in various circumstances. Reinsurance does not relieve us of our direct liability to our policyholders, even when the reinsurer is liable to us. Accordingly, we bear credit risk with respect to our reinsurers. We cannot assure you that our reinsurers will pay the reinsurance recoverables owed to us now or in the future or that they will pay these recoverables on a timely basis. A reinsurer’s insolvency or inability or unwillingness to make payments under the terms of its reinsurance agreement with us could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.

Our net income may be volatile because a significant portion of the credit risk we assume must be accounted for as credit derivatives under FAS 133, as amended by FAS 149, which requires that these instruments be marked to market quarterly.

          Any event causing credit spreads on an underlying security referenced in a credit derivative in our portfolio to either widen or tighten will affect the fair value of the credit derivative and may increase the volatility of our earnings. Derivatives must be accounted for either as assets or liabilities on the balance sheet and measured at fair value pursuant to the guidance of Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 133. Although there is no cash flow effect from this “marking to market,” net changes in the fair value of the derivative are reported in our statement of operations and therefore will affect our reported earnings. If the derivative is held to maturity and no credit loss is incurred, any gains or losses previously reported will be offset by corresponding gains or losses prior to, or at, maturity. See “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations—Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates—Valuation of Credit Default Swaps.”

          Common events that may cause credit spreads on an underlying municipal bond or pool of corporate securities referenced in a credit derivative to fluctuate include changes in the state of national or regional economic conditions, industry cyclicality, changes to a company’s competitive position within an industry, management changes, changes in the ratings of the underlying security, movements in interest rates, default or failure to pay interest or any other factor leading investors to revise expectations about the issuer’s ability to pay principal and interest on its debt obligations. Similarly, common events that may cause credit spreads on an underlying structured security referenced in a credit derivative to fluctuate may include the occurrence and severity of collateral defaults, rating changes, changes in interest rates or underlying cash flows or any other factor leading investors to revise expectations about the sufficiency of the applicable collateral or the ability of the servicer to collect payments on the underlying assets sufficient to pay principal and interest when due.

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          The effect of credit default swaps on net income available to common shareholders was approximately 51.8% and 12.1% for the years ended December 31, 2004 and 2005, respectively and 11.8% for the three months ended March 31, 2006.

Because our financial guaranty insurance and reinsurance policies are unconditional and irrevocable, we may incur losses from fraudulent conduct relating to the securities that we insure or reinsure.

          Issuers of obligations that we insure or reinsure may default on those obligations because of fraudulent or other intentional misconduct on the part of such issuers, their officers, directors, employees, agents or outside advisers or, in the case of public finance obligations, public officials. Financial guaranty insurance and reinsurance provided by us is unconditional and does not provide for any exclusion of liability based on fraud or other misconduct. Despite any risk analysis conducted by us or by the financial guarantors whose policies we reinsure, it is impossible to predict which, if any, of the obligations insured or reinsured by us will result in claims against us because of fraudulent or other intentional misconduct involving the issuer or whether or to what extent we will have any remedy available to us against any party in connection with such conduct. Any such claims against us could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.

Legislative and regulatory changes and interpretations could harm our business.

          The financial guaranty industry is subject to extensive regulation. Changes in laws and regulations affecting insurance companies, the municipal and structured securities markets, the financial guaranty insurance and reinsurance markets and the credit derivatives markets, as well as other governmental regulations, may subject us to additional legal liability or affect the demand for the products that we provide, although we are not currently aware of any proposed changes that would have a material adverse affect on us in particular. The tax treatment of non-U.S. insurance companies and their U.S. insurance subsidiaries has been the subject of Congressional discussion and legislative proposals. No current proposals are pending, but we cannot assure you that future legislative action will not materially adversely affect our financial condition.

Risks Related to Our Historical Ownership by XL Capital As Well As Our Post-Offering Relationships with XL Capital

Our historical combined financial information is not necessarily representative of the results we would have achieved as a stand-alone, public company and may not be a reliable indicator of our future results.

          Prior to this offering, all of the common stock of our subsidiaries was owned by XL Capital. Our historical combined financial information included in this prospectus does not necessarily reflect the financial condition, results of operations or cash flows we would have achieved as a stand-alone, public company during the periods presented or those that we will achieve in the future. This is primarily a result of the following factors:

 

 

 

 

Our historical combined financial results reflect allocations of corporate expenses from XL Capital for services provided on our behalf and included: information technology, legal, human resources, facilities, taxation, treasury, actuarial, corporate finance and other expenses. Those allocations may be different from the comparable expenses that we would have incurred had we operated as a stand-alone company. Although as a stand-alone company our cost structure may have been different due to reduced economies of scale with respect to certain services, we believe that, had we been a stand-alone company, we would have derived other efficiencies. The result is that we do not believe the difference between the previously allocated costs and costs we would have incurred as a stand-alone company for those periods would, in the aggregate, be material;

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Significant changes may occur in our cost structure, management, financing and business operations as a result of our being a stand-alone, public company. These changes could result in increased costs associated with reduced economies of scale, including costs related to information technology; stand-alone costs for services currently provided by XL Capital; marketing and legal entity transition expenses related to building a company brand identity separate from XL Capital; the need for additional personnel to perform services currently provided by XL Capital; and the legal, accounting, compliance and other costs associated with being a public company with listed equity;

 

 

 

 

Certain of our capital requirements historically have been satisfied as part of XL Capital’s corporate-wide practices, as well as by certain reinsurance and guaranties provided to our subsidiaries by XL Capital. After the formation transactions and this offering, those guaranties will cease with respect to new business written and certain of those reinsurance arrangements will be amended as described under “Certain Relationships and Related Party Transactions—Relationship with XL Capital and its Affiliates—Ongoing Reinsurance Transactions.” In addition, we may not be able to obtain reinsurance or financing on terms as favorable or in such amounts as could be obtained when we were wholly-owned subsidiaries of XL Capital. As a result, our cost of debt and reinsurance could be higher, the terms of such debt and reinsurance could be less favorable and our capitalization might be different from that reflected in our historical combined financial statements. We will also (i) be entering into arrangements with affiliates of XL Capital to provide us with protection with respect to adverse development with respect to the two transactions described under “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations—Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates—Reserves for Losses and Loss Adjustments”, for which protection we will pay an aggregate premium of $payable to an affiliate of XL Capital, (ii) transfer or re-assume certain financial guaranty business that was originally reinsured to, or written on our behalf by, XLI principally due to single risk limits and rating agency capital adequacy requirements then applicable to us, which business totaled, at December 31, 2005, approximately $4.2 billion of net par outstanding ($3.9 billion at March 31, 2006) and (iii) cancel our reinsurance of certain non-financial guaranty business ceded to us by XLI. For a description of our ongoing reinsurance arrangements with XL Capital, see “Certain Relationships and Related Party Transactions—Relationship with XL Capital and its Affiliates—Ongoing Reinsurance Transactions;”

 

 

 

 

Our transition into a stand-alone, public company and the adoption of our new brand may have an adverse effect on our relationships with customers, employees, our XLFA preferred share investor, FSA, and regulators and government officials, which could result in reduced volumes of new business written, increased regulatory scrutiny and restrictions and disruption to our business operations. After our transition into a stand-alone, public company, some of our existing policyholders, contract holders and other customers may choose to stop doing business with us;

 

 

 

 

Some of the agreements pursuant to which we provide reinsurance to third-party ceding companies have change of control provisions that may be triggered if an unaffiliated entity acquires more than a specified percentage of our voting securities or if we come under control of any other insurance company or organization. In addition, certain other of our third-party reinsurance agreements have change of control provisions that may be triggered if XL Capital’s ownership of our company decreases to less than 50%. If any of our clients wish to exercise their rights under any such provision, then we may be required to terminate or modify the relevant agreement or seek alternative arrangements, which could result in reduced premiums, increased costs or other disruptions to our business; however, to the extent any of these provisions would be triggered by this offering we will obtain a waiver and we are not aware of any transaction contemplated by XL Capital that would result in any of these change of control provisions being triggered; and

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We cannot anticipate all of the other changes that may occur in our operations as we begin operations as a stand-alone public company.

The terms of our current services, leasing and other arrangements with XL Capital may be more or less favorable to us than we will be able to obtain in the future from an unaffiliated third-party.

          Effective upon the consummation of this offering, we and XL Capital are entering into a series of services agreements pursuant to which XL Capital will provide us, for a period of up to two years, transitional services, including treasury, payroll and other financial services, human resources and employee benefit services, legal services, information systems and network services, tax and treasury services, investment management and procurement and sourcing support. We will also enter into a transition agreement with XL Capital, which will govern the relationship between us and XL Capital after this offering and will provide for the allocation of employee benefit, tax and other liabilities and obligations attributable or related to periods or events prior to the consummation of this offering. See “Certain Relationships and Related Party Transactions—Relationship with XL Capital and its Affiliates—Ongoing Relationship.”

          We negotiated these arrangements with XL Capital in the context of a parent-subsidiary relationship and, although XL Capital is contractually obligated to provide us with services during the terms of the master services agreements, we cannot assure you that these services will be sustained at the same level after the expiration of such agreements, or that we will be able to replace these services in a timely manner or on comparable terms. Our costs of procuring those services from unaffiliated third parties may, therefore, increase as a result of our transition into a stand-alone company, which could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.

After this offering, XL Capital will retain the ability to exert significant influence over us.

          Upon consummation of this offering, XL Capital will retain a significant economic and voting interest in us and, therefore, will be able to exercise significant influence over us. This is primarily a result of the following factors:

 

 

 

 

After this offering, XL Capital will beneficially own approximately 65% of our outstanding common shares (or% if the underwriters exercise their option to purchase additional shares from the selling shareholder in full). However, pursuant to our Bye-laws, the votes conferred by the common shares owned by XL Capital may not exceed, with respect to elections of directors, 50.1% of the aggregate voting power of all common shares entitled to vote generally at any election of directors or, with respect to any other matter presented to our shareholders for their action or consideration, 47.5% of the aggregate voting power of all common shares entitled to vote on such matter;

 

 

 

 

Three of the members of our initial Board of Directors will be directors or officers of XL Capital; and

 

 

 

 

Until XL Capital’s ownership of our then-outstanding common shares is first reduced to 35% or less, XL Capital will have the right, pursuant to the transition agreement, to nominate such number of nominees for director as would equal one nominee less than a majority of the total number of directors then constituting our full board (currently four out of nine persons). Such nominees will be allocated among the classes of our Board of Directors as follows: (i) two nominees to Class I, whose term will expire at our annual general meeting in 2007, (ii) one nominee to Class II, whose term will expire at our annual general meeting in 2008, and (iii) one nominee to Class III, whose term will expire at our annual general meeting in 2009.

          XL Capital may therefore exert significant influence over, among other things, election of our directors and determination of our business strategies, risk profile and underwriting limits.

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          We cannot assure you that the resolution of any matter that may involve the interests of both us and XL Capital will be resolved in what investors would consider to be in our or their best interests. Our Bye-laws contain provisions providing indemnification, exculpation and other protections to our directors, officers and employees with respect to such matters. See “—Conflicts may arise between us and XL Capital that could be resolved in a manner unfavorable to us or investors in our securities.”

          In addition, we have been advised by XL Capital that, after giving effect to this offering, it will account for its interest in us for public financial reporting purposes under the equity method of accounting. Pursuant to the transition agreement, we will be required to provide XL Capital access to our books and records with respect to any period occurring prior to this offering and, for so long as XL Capital continues to account for its interest in us under the equity method of accounting in any subsequent period, for any such period.

Our financial strength or financial enhancement ratings may be negatively impacted by XL Capital’s ratings.

          Rating agencies examine a number of analytical, regulatory and legal factors to assess the relationship between related entities and, therefore, whether (and to what extent) the ratings of related entities should be linked and whether declines in the ratings of one related entity should affect adversely the ratings of another related entity. Following the consummation of this offering, the ratings of our financial guaranty insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries will not be linked directly to those of XL Capital and its subsidiaries, however, a downgrade of the current ratings of XL Capital or its major subsidiaries by three or more notches could subject our ratings to downward pressure unless XL Capital significantly reduced its ownership in and degree of influence over us.

If XL Capital engages in the same type of business we conduct, our ability to successfully operate and expand our business may be hampered.

          Our Bye-laws provide that neither XL Capital nor any person controlled by XL Capital will have any obligation to refrain from:

 

 

 

 

engaging in the same or similar business activities or lines of business as us; or

 

 

 

 

doing business with any of our clients, competitors or vendors.

          XL Capital is a global insurance, reinsurance and financial risk specialist with significant financial services businesses. In particular, XL Financial Solutions Ltd, which we refer to as “XLFS,” a wholly-owned subsidiary of XL Capital, currently arranges double-A-rated structured single obligor credit wraps, which may be executed as credit default swaps or as financial guaranties. XL Capital also has a significant equity ownership interest in Primus Guaranty Ltd., a Bermuda company that, through its subsidiaries, is a triple-A-rated provider of credit default swaps with respect to both corporate and sovereign entities. Because of XL Capital’s significant financial resources, XL Capital could have a significant competitive advantage over us should it decide to engage in businesses that compete directly with any of the businesses we conduct.

Conflicts may arise between us and XL Capital that could be resolved in a manner unfavorable to us or investors in our securities.

          Questions relating to conflicts of interest may arise between us and XL Capital in a number of areas. Three of our directors, each of whom will be nominated to our Board of Directors by XL Capital, will be officers or directors of XL Capital and one of such directors will also be the chairman of the board of directors of each of XL Capital and Primus Guaranty Ltd. Until XL Capital’s ownership of our then-outstanding common shares is first reduced to 35% or less, XL Capital will have the right, pursuant to the transition agreement, to nominate such number of nominees for director as would equal one nominee less than a majority of the nominees for director. These directors and a number of our officers will own

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significant numbers of XL Capital ordinary shares, and options to purchase XL Capital ordinary shares, and all of them participate in XL Capital pension plans. Ownership interests of our directors or officers in XL Capital ordinary shares and participation in XL Capital pension plans, or service as a director or officer of both our company and XL Capital, could give rise to potential conflicts of interest when a director or officer is faced with a decision that could have different implications for the two companies. These potential conflicts could arise, for example, over matters such as the desirability of an acquisition opportunity, employee retention or recruiting, capital raising activities or our dividend policy. We cannot assure you that any conflicts will be resolved in a manner that is in our or your best interests, if at all.

          Our Bye-laws contain provisions waiving claims by shareholders and us relating to potential conflicts of interest and allocation of corporate opportunities between our company, on the one hand, and XL Capital and those of its officers, directors and employees who are also officers, directors or employees of our company, on the other hand. By becoming a shareholder in our company, you will be deemed to have notice of and have consented to these provisions of our Bye-laws. See “Description of Share Capital—Bye-laws—Corporate Opportunities.”

Risks Related to Taxation

U.S. taxation of XLFA could materially adversely affect our financial condition and results of operations.

          We intend to take the position that XLFA is not subject to U.S. tax (other than U.S. excise tax on insurance and reinsurance premiums and withholding tax on specified investment income from U.S. sources), because XLFA does not engage in business in the United States through a permanent establishment in the United States. However, because activities that constitute being engaged in a trade or business in the United States (and activities that give rise to a permanent establishment) are not definitively identified by the U.S. Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended, which we refer to as the “Code,” regulations promulgated under the Code, administrative rulings or pronouncements, judicial decisions or treaties, we cannot assure you that the U.S. Internal Revenue Service, which we refer to as the “IRS,” will not successfully challenge our position on this issue.

          If XLFA were engaged in a trade or business in the United States and did not qualify for benefits under the income tax treaty between Bermuda and the United States, which we refer to as the “Bermuda Treaty”, XLFA would be subject to U.S. tax at regular corporate rates on its income that is effectively connected with its U.S. business plus an additional 30% “branch profits” tax on its income remaining after the regular tax that is deemed to be distributed as a dividend. If XLFA were to qualify for benefits under the Bermuda Treaty, it would be subject to U.S. tax in this manner with respect to income protected by the Bermuda Treaty only if it were engaged in a trade or business in the United States and that trade or business were conducted though a “permanent establishment” in the United States. The Bermuda Treaty clearly applies to premium income but it is uncertain whether the treaty applies to other income such as investment income. If XLFA were found to be engaged in a trade or business in the United States and were entitled to the benefits of the Bermuda Treaty in general, but the Bermuda Treaty were found not to protect investment income, a portion of XLFA’s investment income could be subject to U.S. income tax.

          Any taxation of the kind described above could materially adversely affect our financial condition and results of operations. See “Certain Tax Considerations—United States Taxation—Taxation of SCA and its Subsidiaries.”

Our U.S. subsidiary may be subject to additional taxes.

          Our U.S. subsidiary, XLCA, conducts business in the United States and currently expects to reinsure a majority of its future business with XLFA. While we believe that this reinsurance is written on arm’s-length terms, we cannot assure you that (1) the IRS will not assert that the reinsurance is not on arm’s-length terms or (2) any such assertion by the IRS will not be successful. If such an assertion were successful, XLCA would be treated as having additional income that is subject to additional U.S. tax, and possibly associated interest and penalties. The IRS might also treat this additional income as having

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been distributed as dividends to XLCA’s parent, SCA, in which case this deemed dividend would also be subject to a withholding tax of 30%. A similar analysis (and similar tax risks) may also apply to other intercompany income and expense items between XLCA and its non-U.S. affiliates, such as ceding commissions, other intercompany fees and allocation of corporate overhead. If any of these circumstances were to occur, our financial condition and results of operations could be materially adversely affected.

Our U.K. subsidiary may be subject to additional taxes.

          Our U.K. subsidiary, XL Capital Assurance (U.K.) Limited, which we refer to as “XLCA-UK,” conducts business in the United Kingdom and currently expects to reinsure a majority of its future business via a quota share reinsurance treaty with XLCA. While we believe that this reinsurance is written on arm’s-length terms, we cannot assure you that (1) the U.K. fiscal authority, which we refer to as “HMRC,” will not assert that the reinsurance is not on arm’s-length terms or (2) any such assertion by HMRC will not be successful. If such an assertion were successful, our U.K. subsidiary would be treated as having additional income that is subject to additional U.K. tax, and possibly associated interest and penalties.

          XLCA-UK has also entered into an excess of loss reinsurance agreement with XLCA whereby it cedes 100% of net incurred losses in excess of 10% of XLCA-UK’s capital and surplus, up to an aggregate limit of $50 million. While we believe that this reinsurance is written on arm’s-length terms, we cannot assure you that (1) HMRC will not assert that the reinsurance is not on arm’s-length terms or (2) any such assertion by HMRC will not be successful. If such an assertion were successful, our U.K. subsidiary would be treated as having additional income that is subject to additional U.K. tax, and possibly associated interest and penalties.

          If any of these circumstances were to occur, our financial condition and results of operations could be materially adversely affected.

There is U.S. income tax risk associated with reinsurance between U.S. insurance companies and their Bermuda affiliates.

          Congress has periodically considered legislation intended to eliminate certain perceived tax advantages of Bermuda insurance companies and U.S. insurance companies having Bermuda affiliates, including perceived tax benefits resulting principally from reinsurance between or among U.S. insurance companies and their Bermuda affiliates. In this regard, Section 845 of the Code was amended in 2004 to permit the IRS to reallocate, recharacterize or adjust items of income, deduction or certain other items related to a reinsurance agreement between related parties to reflect the proper “source, character and amount” for each item (in contrast to prior law, which only covered “source and character”). If the IRS were to successfully challenge our reinsurance arrangements under Section 845, our financial condition and results of operations could be materially adversely affected.

There are U.S. income tax risks associated with the controlled foreign corporation rules under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code.

          Each “United States shareholder” of a non-U.S. corporation that is a “controlled foreign corporation,” which we refer to as a “CFC,” for an uninterrupted period of 30 days or more during a tax year and that owns shares in the CFC on the last day of the non-U.S. corporation’s taxable year on which it is a CFC must include in its gross income for U.S. federal income tax purposes its ratable share of the CFC’s “subpart F income,” even if the subpart F income is not distributed. “Subpart F income” of a non-U.S. insurance corporation typically includes “foreign personal holding company income” (such as interest, dividends and other types of passive income), as well as insurance and reinsurance income (including underwriting and investment income) attributable to the insurance of risks situated outside the CFC’s country of incorporation. In general, any U.S. person who owns, directly or indirectly through non-U.S. persons, or is considered to own under applicable constructive ownership rules of the Code, 10% or more of the total combined voting power of all classes of stock of a non-U.S. corporation will be

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considered to be a “United States shareholder.” In general, a non-U.S. insurance company (such as XLFA) will be treated as a CFC if “United States shareholders” collectively own (directly, indirectly or constructively) more than 25% of the total combined voting power or total value of its stock on any day during its tax year. More expansive definitions of “United States shareholder” and “CFC” may apply with respect to RPII (as defined below).

          Although we may be or become a CFC, we believe that, because of the dispersion of our share ownership among holders other than XL Capital and the fact that our Bye-laws provide that no single holder (other than XL Capital or its consolidated subsidiaries or, in certain circumstances, up to three transferees thereof) is permitted to exercise more than 9.5% of the total combined voting power of our company, holders who acquire common shares in this offering should not be subject to treatment as “United States shareholders” of a CFC (except to the extent that special provisions governing RPII (as defined below) apply). We cannot assure you, however, that these rules will not apply to holders of our common shares. Accordingly, U.S. persons should consider the possible application of the CFC rules. See “Certain Tax Considerations—United States Taxation—Taxation of Shareholders.”

There are U.S. income tax risks associated with the related person insurance income of our non-U.S. insurance subsidiaries.

          If (i) the related person insurance income, which we refer to as “RPII,” of any one of our non-U.S. insurance subsidiaries were to equal or exceed 20% of that subsidiary’s gross insurance income in any taxable year and (ii) U.S. persons were treated as owning 25% or more of the subsidiary’s stock (by vote or value), a U.S. person who owns any common shares, directly or indirectly, on the last day of such taxable year on which the 25% threshold is met would be required to include in its income for U.S. federal income tax purposes that person’s ratable share of that subsidiary’s RPII for the taxable year, determined as if that RPII were distributed proportionately only to U.S. holders at that date, regardless of whether that income is distributed. The amount of RPII earned by a subsidiary (generally, premium and related investment income from the direct or indirect insurance or reinsurance of any direct or indirect U.S. holder of shares of that subsidiary or any person related to that holder) will depend on a number of factors, including the identity of persons directly or indirectly insured or reinsured by that subsidiary. Although we do not believe that the 20% threshold will be met in respect of any of our non-U.S. insurance subsidiaries, some of the factors that may affect the result in any period may be beyond our control. Consequently, we cannot assure you that we will not exceed the RPII threshold in any taxable year.

          The RPII rules provide that if a holder who is a U.S. person disposes of shares in a non-U.S. insurance corporation that had RPII (even if the 20% threshold was not met) and met the 25% threshold at any time during the five-year period ending on the date of disposition, and the holder owned any stock at such time, any gain from the disposition will generally be treated as a dividend to the extent of the holder’s share (taking into account certain rules for determining a U.S. holder’s share of RPII) of the corporation’s undistributed earnings and profits that were accumulated during the period that the holder owned the shares (possibly whether or not those earnings and profits are attributable to RPII). In addition, such a shareholder will be required to comply with specified reporting requirements, regardless of the amount of shares owned. We believe that these rules should not apply to dispositions of our common shares because SCA is not itself directly engaged in the insurance business. We cannot assure you, however, that the IRS will not successfully assert that these rules apply to dispositions of our common shares. See “Certain Tax Considerations—United States Taxation—Taxation of Shareholders.”

U.S. holders who hold our common shares will be subject to adverse tax consequences if we are considered to be a passive foreign investment company for U.S. federal income tax purposes.

          If we are considered to be a passive foreign investment company, which we refer to as a “PFIC,” for U.S. federal income tax purposes, a U.S. holder who owns any of our common shares will be subject to adverse tax consequences, including a greater tax liability than might otherwise apply and an interest charge on certain taxes that are deferred by virtue of our non-U.S. status. In addition, if we were considered a PFIC, upon the death of any U.S. individual owning our common shares, such individual’s heirs or estate would not be entitled to a “step-up” in the basis of such common shares, which might

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otherwise be available under U.S. federal income tax laws. We currently do not expect to be a PFIC for U.S. federal income tax purposes in 2006 or in the foreseeable future. We cannot assure you, however, that we will not be deemed a PFIC by the IRS. There are currently no regulations regarding the application of the PFIC provisions to an insurance company. New regulations or pronouncements interpreting or clarifying such provisions may be forthcoming. We cannot predict what impact, if any, such guidance would have on an investor that is subject to U.S. federal income taxation. See “Certain Tax Considerations—United States Taxation—Taxation of Shareholders.”

U.S. tax-exempt entities may recognize unrelated business taxable income.

          Tax-exempt entities are generally required to treat certain subpart F insurance income, including RPII, as unrelated business taxable income that generally is subject to tax, whether or not such income is currently distributed. See “Certain Tax Considerations—United States Taxation—Taxation of Shareholders.”

Changes in U.S. tax law might adversely affect an investment in our shares.

          The tax treatment of non-U.S. companies and their U.S. and non-U.S. insurance subsidiaries has been the subject of Congressional discussion and legislative proposals. For example, one legislative proposal would impose additional limits on the deductibility of interest by foreign-owned U.S. corporations. Another legislative proposal would treat a non-U.S. corporation as a U.S. corporation for U.S. federal income tax purposes if it were considered to be primarily managed and controlled in the U.S. We cannot assure you that future legislative action will not increase the amount of U.S. tax payable by us. If this happens, our financial condition and results of operations could be materially adversely affected.

          Additionally, the U.S. federal income tax laws and interpretations, including those regarding whether a company is engaged in a trade or business (or has a permanent establishment) within the United States or is a PFIC, or whether U.S. holders (as defined in “Certain Tax Considerations—Taxation of Shareholders—United States Taxation”) would be required to include in their gross income “subpart F income” or the RPII of a CFC, are subject to change, possibly on a retroactive basis. There are currently no regulations regarding the application of the PFIC rules to insurance companies and the regulations regarding RPII are still in proposed form. New regulations or pronouncements interpreting or clarifying such rules may be forthcoming. We cannot be certain if, when or in what form such regulations or pronouncements may be provided and whether such guidance will have a retroactive effect.

Bermuda and the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development are considering measures that might change the manner in which we are taxed.

          The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, which we refer to as “OECD,” has published reports and launched a global dialogue among member and non-member countries on measures to limit harmful tax competition. These measures are largely directed at counteracting the effects of tax havens and preferential tax regimes in countries around the world. In OECD’s report of April 18, 2002, as updated as of June 2004, Bermuda was not listed as an uncooperative tax haven jurisdiction because it had previously committed to eliminate harmful tax practices and to embrace international tax standards for transparency, exchange of information and the elimination of any aspects of the regimes for financial and other services that attract business with no substantial domestic activity. We are not able to predict what changes will arise from this commitment or whether such changes will subject us to additional taxes.

          In addition, on June 27, 2005, OECD issued a discussion draft, Attribution of Profits to a Permanent Establishment—Release of Discussion Draft of Part IV (Insurance),” which we refer to as the “Draft,” which constitutes the fourth and final part of the report on OECD’s project to establish a broad consensus regarding the interpretation and practical application of Article 7 of the OECD Model Tax Convention on Income and on Capital, which we refer to as “Article 7.” Article 7 sets forth international tax principles for attributing profits to a permanent establishment and forms the basis of an extensive network of bilateral income tax treaties between OECD member countries and between many OECD

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member and non-member countries. Once finalized, the conclusions of Parts I-IV of the report will be implemented through revision of the Commentary on Article 7 and/or Article 7 itself. Section C of the Draft discusses the application of the 1995 OECD Transfer Pricing Guidelines to insurance business conducted between associated enterprises and, if adopted in its current form, might change the manner in which we are taxed and could therefore impact our future after-tax profitability. We cannot predict the effect of any such changes.

Risks Related to this Offering and Ownership of Our Common Shares

Because we are a holding company and substantially all of our operations are conducted by our subsidiaries, our ability to meet any ongoing cash requirements, including any debt service payments or other expenses, and to pay dividends on our common shares in the future will depend on our ability to obtain cash dividends or other cash payments or obtain loans from our subsidiaries, which are regulated insurance companies that depend upon ratings from independent rating agencies. Our subsidiaries’ ability to pay dividends, or make loans, to us is consequently limited by regulatory and rating agency constraints.

          We conduct substantially all of our operations through our subsidiaries and our subsidiaries generate substantially all of our operating income and cash flow. Our ability to meet our ongoing cash requirements, including any debt service payments or other expenses, and pay dividends on our common shares in the future will depend on our ability to obtain cash dividends or other cash payments or obtain loans from our subsidiaries and will also depend on the financial condition of our subsidiaries. Our subsidiaries are separate and distinct legal entities that will have no obligation to pay any dividends or to lend or advance us funds and may be restricted from doing so by contract, including other financing arrangements, charter provisions or applicable legal, regulatory requirements of the various countries that they operate in, including Bermuda, the United States and the U.K., or rating agency constraints.

          In connection with the consummation of this offering, XLCA and XLFA have each agreed with certain of the rating agencies that, until the second anniversary of the date hereof each will not declare or grant dividends on its common stock without the prior written consent of those ratings agencies, other than to fund certain parent holding company operating expenses and debt service requirements and to fund dividends on our preferred stock and “nominal” dividends on our common stock.

          Under New York Insurance Law, XLCA may pay a shareholder dividend only if it files notice of its intention to declare such dividend and the amount thereof with the New York Superintendent of Insurance, which we refer to as the “New York Superintendent,” and the New York Superintendent does not disapprove such dividend. In addition, New York Insurance law contains a test governing the amount of dividends that XLCA can pay in any year and, as a result of the application of such test, XLCA cannot currently pay dividends, without notice to, and prior approval from, the New York Superintendent. We cannot assure you that XLCA will have statutory earnings to support the payment of dividends to us in an amount sufficient to fund our cash requirements and pay cash dividends or that the New York Superintendent will not disapprove, or will approve, as applicable, any dividends that XLCA may seek to pay to us.

          XLFA is subject to Bermuda regulatory constraints that will affect its ability to pay dividends on its common shares and to make other payments to us. Under Bermuda’s Insurance Act 1978, as amended, and related regulations, which we refer to as the “Insurance Act,” XLFA is required to maintain a minimum solvency margin and minimum liquidity ratio and is prohibited from declaring or paying dividends if such payment would result in its non-compliance with these requirements. In addition, under the Companies Act 1981 of Bermuda, as amended, which we refer to as the “Companies Act,” XLFA may not declare or pay a dividend, or make a distribution out of its contributed surplus, if there are reasonable grounds for believing that (1) it is, or would after the payment be, unable to pay its liabilities as they become due; or (2) the realizable value of its assets would thereby be less than the aggregate of its liabilities and its issued share capital and share premium accounts (as such terms are defined in the Companies Act). Furthermore, in order to reduce its total statutory capital by 15% or more, XLFA would require the prior approval of the BMA. Under these laws, XLFA could currently pay a dividend to us of $73.8 million.

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          XLCA-UK is also subject to significant regulatory restrictions limiting its ability to declare and pay dividends. See “Business—Regulation.”

          The inability of our subsidiaries to pay dividends in an amount sufficient to enable us to meet our cash requirements could have a material adverse effect on us and the value of our common shares.

There has been no public market for our common shares and we cannot assure you that an active trading market will develop.

          Currently, there is no public trading market for our common shares and, as a result, we cannot predict whether an active trading market will develop and continue after this offering or whether the market price of our common shares will decline below the initial public offering price. The initial public offering price will be determined by agreement among us, XL Capital and the representatives of the underwriters and may not be indicative of the market price of our common shares after this offering.

Our subsidiaries’ ratings are not evaluations directed to the protection of investors in our common shares.

          The ratings of our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries, as described under “Business—Ratings” and elsewhere in this prospectus, reflect each rating agency’s current opinion of these subsidiaries’ respective financial strength, operating performance and ability to meet obligations to policyholders and contract holders. These factors are of concern to policyholders, contract holders and lenders. Ratings are not evaluations directed to the protection of investors in our common shares. They are not ratings of our common shares and should not be relied upon when making a decision to buy, hold or sell our common shares or any other security. In addition, the standards used by rating agencies in determining financial strength are different from capital requirements set by state insurance regulators. We may need to take actions in response to changing standards set by any of the rating agencies, as well as statutory capital requirements, which could adversely affect the market price of our common shares.

Future sales of our common shares may adversely affect the market price of our common shares.

          After this offering, we will have             common shares outstanding, of which         , or 65%, will be owned by XLI, assuming that the underwriters do not exercise their option to purchase additional shares from XLI. These shares will be “restricted securities” subject to the volume limitations and other conditions of Rule 144 under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, which we refer to as the “Securities Act.” Furthermore, after this offering, XL Capital and its transferees will have the right to require us to register these common shares under the Securities Act for sale to the public, subject to a 180-day “lock-up” agreement entered into in connection with this offering. Following any registration of this type, the common shares to which the registration relates will be freely transferable. In addition, after this offering, we intend to file one or more registration statements on Form S-8 under the Securities Act to register common shares issued or reserved for issuance under the Security Capital Assurance Ltd 2006 Long-Term Incentive and Share Award Plan. We cannot predict what effect, if any, future sales of our common shares, or the availability of common shares for future sale, will have on the market price of our common shares. Sales of substantial amounts of our common shares in the public market following this offering, or the perception that sales of this type could occur, could depress the market price of our common shares and may make it more difficult for you to sell your common shares at a time and price that you deem appropriate.

There are provisions in our Bye-laws that, subject to certain exceptions, reduce the voting rights of common shares that are held by a person or group to the extent that such person or group holds more than 9.5% of the aggregate voting power of all common shares entitled to vote on a matter.

          In general, and except as provided below, shareholders have one vote for each common share held by them and are entitled to vote at all meetings of shareholders. However, if, and for so long as (and

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whenever), the common shares of a shareholder, including any votes conferred by “controlled shares” (as defined in our Bye-laws)), would otherwise represent more than 9.5% of the aggregate voting power of all common shares entitled to vote on a matter, including an election of directors, the votes conferred by such shares will be reduced by whatever amount is necessary such that, after giving effect to any such reduction (and any other reductions in voting power required by our Bye-laws), the votes conferred by such shares represent 9.5% of the aggregate voting power of all common shares entitled to vote on such matter, provided that the foregoing restrictions do not apply to common shares held by XL Capital or its consolidated subsidiaries or, in certain circumstances, up to three transferees thereof. “Controlled shares” include, among other things, all shares of SCA that a person is deemed to own directly, indirectly (applying the provisions of section 958(a)(2) of the Code) or constructively (applying the provisions of section 318(a) of the Code, as modified by the rules of section 958(b)(1) through (4) of the Code), or, as a result of such person being a member of a “group” under applicable SEC rules. Upon completion of our initial public offering, there will be              common shares outstanding, of which              common shares would confer votes that represent 9.5% of the aggregate voting power of all common shares entitled to vote generally at an election of directors. An investor who does not hold, and is not deemed under the provisions of our Bye-laws to own, any of our common shares may therefore purchase up to              common shares without being subject to voting cutback provisions in our Bye-laws.

          In addition, our Board of Directors may limit a shareholder’s voting rights where it deems appropriate to do so to avoid certain material adverse tax, legal or regulatory consequences to us or any of our subsidiaries or any shareholder or its affiliates. We also have the authority under our Bye-laws to request information from any shareholder for the purpose of determining ownership of controlled shares by such shareholder.

There are provisions in our Bye-laws that may restrict your ability to transfer common shares and, therefore, may affect the liquidity of your shares.

          Our Board of Directors may decline to approve or register a transfer of any common shares (1) if it appears to the Board of Directors, after taking into account the limitations on voting rights contained in our Bye-laws, that any adverse tax, regulatory or legal consequences to us, any of our subsidiaries or any of our shareholders or their respective affiliates would result from such transfer (other than such as our Board of Directors considers to be de minimis), (2) if the Board of Directors does not receive a written opinion from counsel supporting the legality of the transaction under U.S. securities laws and approval from appropriate governmental authorities if any such approval is required, provided that no such opinion shall be required if it is inconsistent with the applicable requirements of any applicable stock exchange or (3) if the transferee has not been approved by applicable governmental authorities (if such approval is required) or if the transfer is not in compliance with applicable consent, authorization or permission of any governmental body or agency in Bermuda. These restrictions in our Bye-laws could adversely affect the liquidity of the common shares that you own. See “Description of Share Capital—Restrictions on Transfer of Common Shares.”

Provisions in our Bye-laws could impede an attempt to replace or remove our directors or change the direction or policies of the Company, which could diminish the value of our common shares.

          Our Bye-laws contain provisions that may make it more difficult for shareholders to replace directors, or effect a change in corporate policy or direction, even if the shareholders consider it beneficial to do so. In addition, these provisions could delay or prevent a change of control that a shareholder might consider favorable. For example, these provisions may prevent a shareholder from receiving the benefit from any premium over the market price of our common shares offered by a bidder in a potential takeover. Even in the absence of an attempt to effect a change in management or a takeover attempt, these provisions may adversely affect the prevailing market price of our common shares if they are viewed as discouraging takeover attempts in the future.

          For example, our Bye-laws contain the following provisions that could have such an effect:

 

 

 

 

election of our directors is staggered, meaning that the members of only one of three classes of our directors are elected each year;

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shareholders may not remove directors except for cause (as defined in our Bye-laws) and only by the affirmative vote of at least 66-2/3% of the votes cast at a general meeting;

 

 

 

 

our Bye-laws recognize the right of XL Capital, pursuant to the transition agreement, to nominate such number of nominees for director as would equal one nominee less than a majority of the nominees for director;

 

 

 

 

if the controlled shares (as defined in our Bye-laws) of any person (other than XL Capital or its consolidated subsidiaries or, in certain circumstances, up to three transferees thereof) confer votes representing more than 9.5% of the aggregate voting power of all common shares entitled to vote on a matter, including an election of directors, the number of such votes shall be reduced by whatever amount is necessary such that, after giving effect to any such reduction (and any other reductions in voting power required by our Bye-laws), votes conferred by such shares represent 9.5% of the aggregate voting power of all common shares entitled to vote on such matter;

 

 

 

 

our Board of Directors may decline to approve or register the transfer of any common shares on our share register if it appears to the Board of Directors, after taking into account the limitations on voting rights contained in our Bye-laws, that any adverse tax, regulatory or legal consequences to us, any of our subsidiaries or any of our shareholders or their respective affiliates would result from such transfer (other than such as our Board of Directors considers to be de minimis) or, if the Board of Directors does not receive: (i) a written opinion from counsel supporting the legality of the transaction under U.S. securities laws, provided that no such opinion will be required if it is inconsistent with the applicable requirements of any applicable stock exchange and (ii) approval from appropriate governmental authorities if any such approval is required; and

 

 

 

 

shareholders may not pass a written resolution with respect to any matter unless such resolution is signed by all of the shareholders who at the date of such resolution would otherwise be entitled to attend a meeting and vote on such resolution.

          In addition, none of the seats on our Board of Directors may be up for election until 2007. Because the shareholders may not be able to elect directors in the interim, this may further impede an attempt to replace or remove our directors and, consequently, diminish the value of our common shares.

There are regulatory limitations on the ownership and transfer of our common shares.

          The BMA must approve all issuances and transfers of securities of a Bermuda exempted company like us. We have received permission from the BMA to issue our common shares, and for the free transferability of our common shares as long as the shares are listed on the New York Stock Exchange or other appointed exchange, to and among persons who are non-residents of Bermuda for exchange control purposes and up to 20% of the common shares to and among persons who are residents of Bermuda for exchange control purposes. Any other transfers remain subject to approval by the BMA.

As a shareholder of our company, you may have greater difficulties in protecting your interests than as a shareholder of a U.S. corporation.

          The Companies Act, which applies to our company, differs in material respects from laws generally applicable to U.S. corporations and their shareholders. Taken together with the provisions of our Bye-laws, some of these differences may result in your having greater difficulties in protecting your interests as a shareholder of our company than you would have as a shareholder of a U.S. corporation. This affects, among other things, the circumstances under which transactions involving an interested director are voidable, whether an interested director can be held accountable for any benefit realized in a

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transaction with our company, what approvals are required for business combinations by our company with a large shareholder or a wholly-owned subsidiary, what rights you may have as a shareholder to enforce specified provisions of the Companies Act or our Bye-laws, and the circumstances under which we may indemnify our directors and officers.

We are a Bermuda company and it may be difficult for you to enforce judgments against us or against our directors and executive officers.

          We were incorporated under the laws of Bermuda and our business is based in Bermuda. In addition, certain of our directors and officers reside outside the United States, and a portion of our assets and the assets of such persons may be located in jurisdictions outside the United States. As such, it may be difficult or impossible to effect service of process within the United States upon us or those persons, or to recover against us or them on judgments of U.S. courts, including judgments predicated upon the civil liability provisions of the U.S. federal securities laws. Further, no claim may be brought in Bermuda against us or our directors and officers in the first instance for violation of U.S. federal securities laws because these laws have no extraterritorial application under Bermuda law and do not have force of law in Bermuda; however, a Bermuda court may impose civil liability, including the possibility of monetary damages, on us or our directors and officers if the facts alleged in a complaint constitute or give rise to a cause of action under Bermuda law.

          We have been advised by Conyers Dill & Pearman, our special Bermuda counsel, that there is doubt as to whether the courts of Bermuda would enforce judgments of U.S. courts obtained in actions against us or our directors and officers, as well as the experts named herein, predicated upon the civil liability provisions of the U.S. federal securities laws, or original actions brought in Bermuda against us or such persons predicated solely upon U.S. federal securities laws. Further, we have been advised by Conyers Dill & Pearman that there is no treaty in effect between the United States and Bermuda providing for the enforcement of judgments of U.S. courts in civil and commercial matters, and there are grounds upon which Bermuda courts may decline to enforce the judgments of U.S. courts. Some remedies available under the laws of U.S. jurisdictions, including some remedies available under the U.S. federal securities laws, may not be allowed in Bermuda courts as contrary to public policy in Bermuda. Because judgments of U.S. courts are not automatically enforceable in Bermuda, it may be difficult for you to recover against us based upon such judgments.

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 CAUTIONARY NOTE REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

          All forward-looking statements address matters that involve risks and uncertainties. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in such statements. This prospectus includes forward-looking statements, both with respect to us and our industry, that reflect our current views with respect to future events and financial performance. Statements that include the words “expect,” “intend,” “plan,” “believe,” “project,” “anticipate,” “will,” “may” and similar statements of a future or forward-looking nature identify forward-looking statements.

          We believe that these factors include, but are not limited to, the following:

 

 

 

 

changes in rating agency policies or practices, including adverse changes to the financial strength or financial enhancement ratings of any or all of our operating subsidiaries;

 

 

 

 

ineffectiveness or obsolescence of our business strategy, due to changes in current or future market conditions or other factors;

 

 

 

 

the performance of our invested assets or losses on credit derivatives;

 

 

 

 

availability of capital (whether in the form of debt or equity) and liquidity (including letter of credit facilities);

 

 

 

 

the timing of claims payments being faster or the receipt of reinsurance recoverables being slower than anticipated by us;

 

 

 

 

increased competition on the basis of pricing, capacity, terms or other factors;

 

 

 

 

greater frequency or severity of claims and loss activity, including as a result of natural or man-made catastrophic events, than our underwriting, reserving or investment practices anticipate based on historical experience or industry data;

 

 

 

 

developments in the world’s financial and capital markets that adversely affect the performance of our investments and our access to such markets;

 

 

 

 

changes in, or termination of, our ongoing reinsurance agreements with XL Capital or FSA;

 

 

 

 

changes in regulation or tax laws applicable to us or our customers or suppliers such as our reinsurers;

 

 

 

 

changes in the rating agencies’ views on third-party inward reinsurance;

 

 

 

 

changes in the availability, cost or quality of reinsurance or retrocessions, including a material adverse change in the ratings of our reinsurers or retrocessionaires;

 

 

 

 

changes with respect to XL Capital (including changes in its ratings or its ownership percentage in us) or our relationship with XL Capital;

 

 

 

 

changes that may occur in our operations as we begin operations as a public company;

 

 

 

 

changes in accounting policies or practices or the application thereof;

 

 

 

 

changes in the officers of our company or our subsidiaries;

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legislative or regulatory developments;

 

 

 

 

changes in general economic conditions, including inflation, interest rates, foreign currency exchange rates and other factors; and

 

 

 

 

the effects of business disruption or economic contraction due to war, terrorism or natural or other catastrophic events.

          The foregoing review of important factors should not be construed as exhaustive and should be read in conjunction with the other cautionary statements that are included herein or elsewhere. We undertake no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise.

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 FORMATION TRANSACTIONS

          XLCA and XLFA were formed in 1999 and 1998, respectively, and XLCA began providing financial guaranty insurance in 2000 and XLFA began providing financial guaranty reinsurance in 1998. We were incorporated in Bermuda in March 2006 for the sole purpose of becoming the parent company of XLCA and XLFA and certain related companies. Prior to consummation of this offering, we will enter into the transactions described under “Certain Relationships and Related Party Transactions—Relationship with XL Capital and its Affiliates—Ongoing Relationship—Formation,” which will result in our corporate organization being as described under “Prospectus Summary—Corporate Structure and Principal Shareholder.”

          In connection with this offering, we will (i) be entering into arrangements with affiliates of XL Capital to provide us with protection with respect to any further adverse development with respect to the two transactions described below under “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations - Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates - Reserves for Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses”, for which protection we will pay an aggregate premium of $           to an affiliate of XL Capital, (ii) transfer or re-assume certain financial guaranty business that was originally reinsured to, or written on our behalf by, XLI principally due to single risk limits and rating agency capital adequacy requirements applicable to us at the time that business was first written, which business totaled, at March 31, 2006, approximately $3.9 billion of net par outstanding, (iii) cancel our reinsurance of certain non-financial guaranty business ceded to us by XLI and (iv) be receiving from XL Capital an additional contribution to our common equity of cash in the amount of $      million, which we refer to as the additional capital contribution. Unless otherwise indicated, the financial information and data contained in this prospectus do not give effect to the foregoing arrangements. We will also enter into a number of other agreements with XL Capital and several of its subsidiaries that will govern certain aspects of our relationship with XL Capital after this offering, including a series of service agreements under which such subsidiaries of XL Capital will provide certain services to us or receive certain services from us for a period of time after this offering. See “Certain Relationships and Related Party Transactions-Relationship with XL Capital and its Affiliates” and “Pro Forma Financial Information.”

          After the consummation of these formation transactions and the completion of this offering, XL Capital will beneficially own            of our common shares, or approximately 65% of our outstanding common shares (           of our common shares, or approximately      % of our outstanding common shares, if the underwriters’ option to purchase additional common shares is exercised in full).

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 USE OF PROCEEDS

          We estimate that the net proceeds to us from this offering will be approximately $           million, based upon an assumed initial public offering price of $      per common share, representing the midpoint of the offering range set forth on the cover of this prospectus, and after deducting the underwriters’ discount and fees and expenses of the offering. We intend to contribute approximately $           million of such net proceeds to the capital of our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries to support future growth in their respective businesses and to retain the remainder of such net proceeds to use for general corporate purposes (currently expected to be principally the payment of our operating expenses and payment of dividends on our common shares).

          We will not receive any proceeds from the sale of common shares by the selling shareholder.

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 DIVIDEND POLICY

          We expect that it will be our policy to limit the cash dividends paid on our common shares to nominal dividends that would satisfy certain investors who may otherwise be prohibited from investing in non-dividend paying stocks. The timing and amount of any cash dividends, however, will be at the discretion of our Board of Directors and will depend upon our results of operations and cash flows, our financial position and capital requirements, general business conditions, legal, tax, regulatory, rating agency and contractual constraints or restrictions and any other factors that our Board of Directors deems relevant.

          We are a holding company and, as such, have no substantial operations of our own. We do not have any significant assets other than our ownership of the shares of our direct and indirect subsidiaries, including XLCA, XLCA-UK and XLFA. Dividends and other permitted distributions from our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries are expected to be our sole source of funds for meeting any ongoing cash requirements, including any debt service payments and other expenses, and for paying any dividends to shareholders. Because XLCA has negative earned surplus under New York insurance law, it is unable at this time, under that law, to declare or distribute dividends to us. Under applicable Bermuda law, XLFA could currently pay a dividend of $73.8 million to us. For a description of certain of the restrictions applicable to the payment of dividends by XLCA, XLCA-UK and XLFA, see “Business—Regulation” and “Risk Factors—Risks Related to this Offering and Ownership of Our Common Shares—Because we are a holding company and substantially all of our operations are conducted by our subsidiaries, our ability to meet any ongoing cash requirements, including any debt service payments or other expenses, and to pay dividends on our common shares in the future will depend on our ability to obtain cash dividends or other cash payments or obtain loans from our subsidiaries, which are regulated insurance companies that depend upon ratings from independent rating agencies. Our subsidiaries’ ability to pay dividends, or make loans, to us is consequently limited by regulatory and rating agency constraints.”

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 CAPITALIZATION

          The following table sets forth our combined capitalization as of March 31, 2006 and as adjusted as of that date to give effect to (i) the formation transactions, including the additional capital contribution and (ii) the issuance by us of common shares in this offering. This table should be read in conjunction with “Selected Combined Financial Information,” “Formation Transactions,” “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” and our combined financial statements and the related notes included elsewhere in this prospectus, as well as with “Pro Forma Financial Information.”

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

March 31, 2006

 

 

 

 


 

(in millions, except share and per share amounts)

 

Actual

 

As Adjusted(2)

 

 

 


 


 

Redeemable preferred shares:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Series A redeemable preferred shares (par value of $120 per share; 10,000 shares authorized; 363 issued and outstanding as at March 31, 2006)

 

$

54,016

 

 

 

 

Series B preferred shares (par value of $120 per share; 200 shares authorized; no shares issued and outstanding as at March 31, 2006) (1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 



 

Total redeemable preferred shares

 

 

54,016

 

 

 

 

Shareholders’ equity:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Common shares, $0.01 par value per common share, 500,000,000 common shares authorized;     common shares issued and outstanding as adjusted

 

 

15,294

 

 

 

 

Additional paid-in capital

 

 

591,790

 

 

 

 

Retained earnings

 

 

298,458

 

 

 

 

Accumulated other comprehensive income

 

 

(38,787

)

 

 

 

 

 



 



 

Total shareholders’ equity

 

 

866,755

 

 

 

 

 

 



 



 

Total capitalization

 

$

1,720,415

 

 

 

 

 

 



 



 




 

 

(1)

In December 2004, XLFA entered into a put option agreement and an asset trust expense reimbursement agreement with Twin Reefs Asset Trust, which we refer to as the “Asset Trust.” The put option agreement provides XLFA with the irrevocable right to require the Asset Trust at any time and from time to time to purchase XLFA’s non-cumulative perpetual Series B preferred shares with an aggregate liquidation preference of up to $200 million. See “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations—Liquidity and Capital Resources—XLFA Soft Capital Facility.”

 

 

(2)

In connection with the consummation of the offering, we expect to replace the letters of credit issued for our benefit under an XL Capital facility with letters of credit issued under the letter of credit and liquidity facility described under “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations - Liquidity and Capital Resources - Anticipated Letter of Credit and Liquidity Facility.” As of March 31, 2006, we had approximately $158.7 million in outstanding letters of credit under the XL Capital facility.

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 DILUTION

          The initial public offering price per common share is higher than our net tangible book value per common share. Net tangible book value per common share represents the amount of tangible assets less total liabilities, divided by the number of common shares outstanding. Dilution in net tangible book value per common share represents the difference between (1) the amount per common share paid by purchasers of our common shares in this offering and (2) the net tangible book value per common share immediately after this offering. As of March 31, 2006, our net tangible book value (after giving effect to the additional capital contribution) was approximately $           million or $           per common share. The following table illustrates this per share dilution:


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Assumed initial offering price per common share

 

 

 

 

$

 

 

Net tangible book value per common share before this offering

 

$

 

 

 

 

 

Increase attributable to this offering

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 

 

 

 

Net tangible book value per common share after this offering

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 

Dilution per common share to new investors

 

 

 

 

$

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 

          The following table sets forth the number of our common shares issued, the total consideration paid and the average price per common share paid by our existing shareholder and new investors, after giving effect to the issuance of common shares in this offering at an assumed initial offering price of $      per share (before deducting the estimated underwriting discount and estimated offering expenses payable by us).

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Common Shares Issued

 

Total Consideration

 

Average
Price per
Share

 

 

 


 


 

 

 

 

Number

 

Percent

 

Amount

 

Percent

 

 

 

 


 


 


 


 


 

Existing Shareholder

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

New Investors

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 



 



 



 



 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

          The foregoing tables do not give effect to:

 

 

 

 

common shares that may be issued pursuant to the underwriters’ option to purchase additional common shares from the selling shareholder;

 

 

 

 

common shares that may be issued pursuant to options that had been granted to our officers and directors as of     , 2006 at a weighted average exercise price of $     per common share; and

 

 

 

 

additional common shares available for future issuance under our stock option and incentive plans.

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 SELECTED COMBINED FINANCIAL INFORMATION


          The following table presents our selected combined financial and operating data. The financial data set forth below for the years ended December 31, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004 and 2005 are derived from our combined financial statements. The financial data set forth below for the three months ended March 31, 2005 and 2006 are derived from our interim condensed combined financial statements. The financial data as at December 31, 2005 and 2004 and for the years ended December 31, 2003, 2004 and 2005 have been audited. The information set forth below should be read together with “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” and our combined financial statements and related notes included elsewhere in this prospectus.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year Ended December 31,

 

Three Months Ended
March 31,

 

 

 


 


 

(in thousands, except per share amounts)

 

2001

 

2002

 

2003

 

2004

 

2005

 

2005

 

2006

 

 

 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 

Statement of operations data:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross premiums written

 

$

52,285

 

$

161,108

 

$

260,321

 

$

232,541

 

$

233,269

 

$

40,892

 

$

70,780

 

Reinsurance premiums assumed

 

 

31,049

 

 

36,899

 

 

59,131

 

 

44,021

 

 

52,170

 

 

10,845

 

 

11,403

 

 

 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 

Total premiums written

 

 

83,334

 

 

197,007

 

 

319,452

 

 

276,562

 

 

285,439

 

 

51,737

 

 

82,183

 

Ceded premiums

 

 

(15,323

)

 

(87,903

)

 

(67,414

)

 

(8,123

)

 

(40,527

)

 

(11,693

)

 

(7,592

)

 

 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 

Net premiums written

 

 

68,011

 

 

110,104

 

 

252,038

 

 

268,439

 

 

244,912

 

 

40,044

 

 

74,591

 

Net premiums earned

 

 

29,590

 

 

57,585

 

 

103,072

 

 

116,281

 

 

151,839

 

 

32,640

 

 

37,813

 

Investment income

 

 

24,620

 

 

25,962

 

 

22,754

 

 

35,746

 

 

51,160

 

 

11,308

 

 

15,062

 

Net realized (losses) gains on investments

 

 

10,693

 

 

15,896

 

 

3,621

 

 

(178

)

 

(3,221

)

 

(1,413

)

 

(5,683

)

Net realized and unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivatives

 

 

(16,760

)

 

6,066

 

 

15,606

 

 

12,687

 

 

(6,681

)

 

2,115

 

 

(3,850

)

Fee income and other

 

 

45

 

 

174

 

 

3,321

 

 

100

 

 

750

 

 

750

 

 

1,260

 

 

 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 

Total revenues

 

 

48,188

 

 

105,683

 

 

148,374

 

 

164,636

 

 

193,847

 

 

45,400

 

 

44,602

 

Net losses and loss adjustment expenses

 

 

7,432

 

 

4,584

 

 

20,038

 

 

21,274

 

 

26,021

 

 

2,206

 

 

3,449

 

Acquisition costs

 

 

3,525

 

 

1,136

 

 

6,776

 

 

8,259

 

 

12,231

 

 

2,065

 

 

2,682

 

Operating expenses

 

 

26,964

 

 

35,565

 

 

51,719

 

 

58,395

 

 

67,621

 

 

15,593

 

 

17,095

 

 

 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 

Total expenses

 

 

37,921

 

 

41,285

 

 

78,533

 

 

87,928

 

 

105,873

 

 

19,864

 

 

23,226

 

 

 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 

Net income before income tax

 

 

10,267

 

 

64,398

 

 

69,841

 

 

76,708

 

 

87,974

 

 

25,536

 

 

21,376

 

Income tax expense (benefit)

 

 

(3,347

)

 

(246

)

 

(955

)

 

1,920

 

 

(1,277

)

 

14

 

 

15

 

 

 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 

Net income

 

 

13,614

 

 

64,644

 

 

70,796

 

 

74,788

 

 

89,251

 

 

25,522

 

 

21,361

 

 

 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 

Preference share dividends

 

 

4,298

 

 

8,866

 

 

9,491

 

 

15,934

 

 

8,805

 

 

3,538

 

 

4,612

 

 

 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 

Net income available to common shareholders

 

$

9,316

 

$

55,778

 

$

61,305

 

$

58,854

 

$

80,446

 

$

21,984

 

$

16,749

 

 

 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 

Per Share Data (1):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Earnings per share available to common shareholders:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 

Basic

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 

Diluted

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



(1) Based on      shares outstanding immediately prior to the initial public offering of our common stock.

36


S-1/A40th "Page" of 248TOC1stPreviousNextBottomJust 40th

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As of December 31,

 

As of
March 31,

 

 

 


 


 

(in thousands, except per share amounts)

 

2001

 

2002

 

2003

 

2004

 

2005

 

2006

 

 

 


 


 


 


 


 


 

Balance sheet data:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investments, cash and cash equivalents

 

$

646,396

 

$

660,990

 

$

935,703

 

$

1,228,452

 

$

1,419,054

 

$

1,435,916

 

Prepaid reinsurance premiums

 

 

12,309

 

 

78,713

 

 

108,475

 

 

57,454

 

 

69,873

 

 

69,263

 

Deferred acquisition costs

 

 

14,066

 

 

7,670

 

 

17,739

 

 

44,599

 

 

59,592

 

 

65,365

 

Reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid losses

 

 

685

 

 

5,979

 

 

11,400

 

 

60,914

 

 

69,217

 

 

69,987

 

Total assets

 

 

690,164

 

 

786,437

 

 

1,137,631

 

 

1,472,193

 

 

1,684,315

 

 

1,720,415

 

Deferred premium revenue

 

 

88,305

 

 

207,228

 

 

385,956

 

 

487,093

 

 

592,585

 

 

628,753

 

Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses

 

 

9,763

 

 

21,735

 

 

47,195

 

 

115,734

 

 

147,368

 

 

150,927

 

Total liabilities

 

 

264,940

 

 

277,365

 

 

469,213

 

 

618,774

 

 

765,983

 

 

799,644

 

Accumulated other comprehensive income

 

 

3,052

 

 

8,907

 

 

2,501

 

 

(241

)

 

(20,307

)

 

(38,787

)

Shareholders’ equity

 

 

383,400

 

 

465,066

 

 

621,563

 

 

804,730

 

 

867,814

 

 

866,755

 

Per Share Data (1):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Book value per share

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



(1) Based on      shares outstanding immediately prior to the initial public offering of our common stock.

37


S-1/A41st "Page" of 248TOC1stPreviousNextBottomJust 41st

 PRO FORMA FINANCIAL INFORMATION
(UNAUDITED)

          The pro forma combined financial information gives effect to the transactions described in the notes thereto as if they had occurred on March 31, 2006 for purposes of the pro forma balance sheet, and at January 1, 2005 and January 1, 2006 for purposes of the pro forma income statements for the year ended December 31, 2005 and the three month period ended March 31, 2006, respectively.

          The pro forma information is based on available information and, where necessary, assumptions management believes are reasonable. The pro forma information is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed to be indicative of our combined financial position or our combined results of operations had the offering and the transactions described under “Formation Transactions” been consummated on the dates assumed, and does not in any way represent a projection or forecast of our combined financial position or combined results of operations for any future date or period.

          The pro forma information should be read in conjunction with our historical combined financial statements included elsewhere in this prospectus and with the information set forth under “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations”.

38


S-1/A42nd "Page" of 248TOC1stPreviousNextBottomJust 42nd

Security Capital Assurance Ltd

Supplemental Pro Forma Condensed Combined Statement of Operations

(Unaudited)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Three Months Ended March 31, 2006

 

 

 


 

(U.S. dollars in thousands)

 

Historical

 

Adjustments

 

 

Pro Forma

 

 

 


 


 

 


 

 

 


 


 

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

$

44,602

 

$

3,475

 

(f)

$

47,876

 

           

(201

)

(g)

     

 

 



 



 

 



 

Expenses

 

 

 

 

 

     

 

 

 

Net losses and loss adjustment expense

 

 

3,449

 

 

362

 

(f)

 

3,811

 

Acquisition costs, net

 

 

2,682

 

 

282

 

(f)

 

2,964

 

Operating expenses

 

 

17,095

 

 

1,934

 

(e)

 

19,029

 

 

 



 



 

 



 

Total expenses

 

 

23,226

 

 

2,577

 

 

 

25,803

 

 

 



 



 

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income before provision for income taxes

 

 

21,376

 

 

697

 

 

 

22,073

 

Provision for income taxes

 

 

15

 

 

(70

)

(h)

 

(55

)

 

 



 



 

 



 

Net income

 

 

21,361

 

 

767

 

 

 

22,128

 

Preference share dividends

 

 

4,612

 

 

 

 

 

4,612

 

 

 



 



 

 



 

Net income available to common shareholders

 

$

16,749

 

$

767

 

 

$

17,516

 

 

 


 


 

 


 

 

 


 


 

 


 


See Notes to Pro Forma Financial Information (Unaudited)

39


S-1/A43rd "Page" of 248TOC1stPreviousNextBottomJust 43rd

Security Capital Assurance Ltd

Supplemental Pro Forma Condensed Combined Statement of Operations

(Unaudited)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year Ended December 31, 2005

 

 

 


 

(U.S. dollars in thousands)

 

Historical

 

Adjustments

 

 

Pro Forma

 

 

 


 


 

 


 

 

 


 


 

 


 

Revenues

 

$

193,847

 

$

13,900

 

(f)

$

206,942

 

           

(805

)

(g)

     

 

 



 



 

 



 

Expenses

 

 

 

 

 

     

 

 

 

Net losses and loss adjustment expense

 

 

26,021

 

 

1,446

 

(f)

 

27,467

 

Acquisition costs, net

 

 

12,231

 

 

1,128

 

(f)

 

13,359

 

Operating expenses

 

 

67,621

 

 

7,735

 

(e)

 

75,356

 

 

 



 



 

 



 

Total expenses

 

 

105,873

 

 

10,309

 

 

 

116,182

 

 

 



 



 

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income before provision for income taxes

 

 

87,974

 

 

2,786

 

 

 

90,760

 

Provision for income taxes

 

 

(1,277

)

 

(282

)

(h)

 

(1,559

)

 

 



 



 

 



 

Net income

 

 

89,251

 

 

3,068

 

 

 

92,319

 

Preference share dividends

 

 

8,805

 

 

 

 

 

8,805

 

 

 



 



 

 



 

Net income available to common shareholders

 

$

80,446

 

$

3,068

 

 

$

83,514

 

 

 


 


 

 


 

 

 



 



 

 



 

See Notes to Pro Forma Financial Information (Unaudited)

40


S-1/A44th "Page" of 248TOC1stPreviousNextBottomJust 44th

Security Capital Assurance Ltd

Supplemental Pro Forma Condensed Combined Balance Sheet

(Unaudited)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As of March 31, 2006

 

 

 


 

(U.S. dollars in thousands)

 

Historical

 

Adjustments

 

 

Pro Forma

 

 

 


 


 

 


 

 

 


 


 

 


 

Assets

 

$

1,720,415

 

$

 

 

(c)

$

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(d)

 

 

 

           

7,000

 

(g)

     

 

 



 



 

 



 

 

 



 



 

 



 

Liabilities and shareholders’ equity:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 



 

 



 

Total Liabilities

 

 

799,644

 

 

7,000

 

(g)

 

806,644

 

 

 



 



 

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 



 

 



 

Redeemable Preferred Shares

 

 

54,016

 

 

 

 

 

54,016

 

 

 



 



 

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholders’ equity

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Common stock

 

 

15,294

 

 

 

 

(a)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(c)

 

 

 

Additional paid-in capital

 

 

591,790

 

 

 

 

(a)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

298,458

 

(b)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(c)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(d)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Retained earnings

 

 

298,458

 

 

(298,458

)

(b)

 

 

 

Accumulated other comprehensive income

 

 

(38,787

)

 

 

 

 

(38,787

)

 

 



 



 

 



 

Total shareholders’ equity

 

 

866,755

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 



 

 



 

Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity

 

$

1,720,415

 

$

 

 

 

$